Articles

NHL Futures Wager: Colorado Avalanche to Win the Stanley Cup

by Al McMordie

Thursday, Sep 24, 2026

The NHL Season starts next week, and the schedule has been expanded to 84 games for each team.  Last year, I cashed the Carolina Hurricanes at +850 to win the Stanley Cup (I cashed 3 of my 6 Futures selections last year).  This season, my selection for the 2026-2027 NHL Stanley Cup Champions will be the Colorado Avalanche (currently +750 at FanDuel).  Last season, the Avalanche were cruising along, easily making the playoffs while winning their division for the fourth time in the last six years.  They continued cruising in the first two rounds of the post-season, easily defeating the Kings and Wild to get to the Conference Finals.  But that's when the wheels fell off.  Colorado was swept by the surprising Golden Knights and its season was abruptly over.  The Avs had a two-headed monster last season: the best offense in the NHL (3.63 goals for per game) and the best goaltending to go with it.  The "Wood" brothers (Scott Wedgewood and Mackenzie Blackwood) were phenomenal last season between the pipes and both return to the Avs for an encore and what they hope will be a different outcome in the playoffs.  Oh, and by the way, the Avs' defense was very good as well as it allowed 26.1 shots against per game -- 5th best in the NHL.   As you might expect, the Avs didn't need to do much in the off-season as far as acquiring new talent, and they didn't -- although they did fill in a bit around the edges with some depth players like center Jaden Schwartz, and former first-round winger Zachary L'Heureux.  They'll have to stay healthy and get it done pretty much with the roster they have as there isn't much cap space to play with.  With that crushing 4-0 Conference Finals sweep still fresh in their minds, you can bet that the Avs will be going out with a purpose this season.  And that purpose is to win their fourth Stanley Cup in franchise history.  Take the Avalanche at +750.   Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.

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ASA's NFL Player Props - For Week 3

by ASA, Inc.

Thursday, Sep 24, 2026

ASA's WEEK 3 NFL PLAYER PROPSJustin Herbert Over 222.5 Pass Yards Herbert has had a rough start to the season, especially considering the high expectations many had for the Mike McDaniel’s-led offense. After two bad losses against bottom-tier teams, the Chargers head to Buffalo for a potential shootout with the second highest point total of the weekend – O/U 50.5. Los Angeles has the firepower to hang with the Bills, but Josh Allen has been virtually unstoppable through two weeks. Whether it's a close game, or a Bills blowout, the Chargers should be throwing all game and Buffalo gives up the third most passing yards in the league at 273 per game. Historically, Herbert has been phenomenal, posting a passer rating of 93 or higher in each of his first six seasons while averaging 260 yards per game. Expect to see his play swing back to that status quo as he gets comfortable in this new offense. Derrick Henry Over 104.5 Rushing+Receiving YardsThe ageless wonder continues to truck on and may do so for eternity at this point. Baltimore meets Dallas in Rio de Janeiro for the most expected points of week three - O/U 52.5. Henry is averaging 106 yards on the ground while being more involved in the passing game to start the year, with 19 receiving yards each game. Dallas gives up the third most rushing yards to opposing offenses - 173.5 yards per game. Expect the usual heavy dose of Henry on Sunday as the Ravens still have a sour taste from losing to the Saints, where Henry touched the ball once in the fourth quarter. With a high-paced game, Henry should rack up 20+ touches. At 4.9 career yards per attempt, the big man should rumble past this line. Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 90.5 Receiving Yards JSN has been the best receiver in football through two weeks and until teams figure out how to slow him down, continue to ride with him. He commands a league-leading 44% target share yet opposing defenses cannot find an answer. Dating back to last season, Smith-Njigba has surpassed 120 yards in three of his past four games, the fourth being a blowout win in the Super Bowl. This Sunday, the Commanders have a suspect secondary that just allowed CeeDee Lamb 153 yards on 8 catches. JSN always has the potential to go nuclear, but that type of performance won't even be needed to hit his yardage mark. 

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College Football Week 4 Power Rankings

by Wayne Root

Thursday, Sep 24, 2026

After a little over three weeks, we have a general sense of just how good most of the 138 college football teams are. If I were to guess, the NIL and portals are making things interesting.We can see a pattern with some (UCLA, Mississippi State, and Alabama), while others (Ohio State, LSU, Louisville) might have a loss, but whatever – we’ve got it. And then there’s Indiana. Of course we’ll give the defending national champs the benefit of several doubts, but Alabama roasted the Kentucky team that just beat Texas A&M. Indiana has beaten North Texas, Howard, and Western Kentucky.Everyone fell all over themselves to love Miami after beating Stanford and Florida A&M, and what happened when it faced Wake Forest? It had to work. So for now, a quarter of the way into the season, here’s our always-fluid call on who the 25 best teams in college football are.1. Texas LonghornsRecord: (3-0)Up Next: at TennesseeArch Manning needs to be more consistently accurate, but Cam Coleman is playing like the superstar receiver he is, the defense held up fine against a good UTSA team, and the Ohio State win will only look better and better as the year goes on. Texas holds onto the No. 1 spot in the rankings after avoiding a letdown and defeating UTSA 30-6. Arch Manning finished with 164 passing yards and two touchdowns while adding 50 yards on the ground, helping the Longhorns remain unbeaten after their previous statement victory over Ohio State.Steve Sarkisian was especially pleased with his defense, which controlled the game and prevented UTSA from finding the end zone despite some questions about Texas’ offensive performance.2. Ohio State BuckeyesRecord: (2-1)Up Next: IllinoisThere you go, Ohio State. You got the Texas game out of your system. Now keep that offensive focus and explosion going week after week, and there will be confetti waiting to fall on you in Las Vegas in late January. Julian Sayin threw for 241 yards and two touchdowns as the Buckeyes overwhelmed their opponent offensively and quickly removed any possibility of an upset.Ohio State’s defense was even more impressive, limiting Kent State to only 134 total yards while forcing three turnovers in the blowout win. The performance was enough for Crain3. Notre Dame Fighting IrishRecord: (3-0)Up Next: at PurdueNotre Dame stays at No. 3 after pulling away from Michigan State for a 27-10 victory and avoiding an upset that could have dramatically changed its early-season outlook. Nolan James Jr. carried much of the workload on the ground, rushing 26 times for 121 yards and a touchdown as the Fighting Irish wore down the Spartans. That was a nice win over Michigan State. The conditions were awful, Pat Fitzgerald’s bunch got physical, and just like it did against Wisconsin, the offensive line took over. It was a professional-caliber win by a phenomenally talented team.4. GeorgiaRecord: (3-0)Up Next: OklahomaGeorgia turned the Razorbacks into pulled pork in an efficient 45-17 victory that was more lopsided than that score indicates. When you treat a conference opponent like a G6 team, you’ve officially demonstrated your dominance over the league. Or maybe Arkansas is just that bad.Georgia remains at No. 4 following a comfortable 45-17 win over Arkansas to begin SEC play. Quarterback Gunner Stockton was efficient through the air, completing 10 of 13 passes for 147 yards and a touchdown while also showing his ability as a runner with 97 rushing yards. The Bulldogs were never seriously threatened as they handled an Arkansas program searching for answers and continued their unbeaten start.5. Ole Miss RebelsRecord: (3-0)Up Next: at FloridaTrinidad Chambliss was outstanding again, completing 33 of 48 passes for 363 yards and two touchdowns while also scoring the go-ahead touchdown on a 14-yard run in the fourth quarter. The Rebels handled all of the emotion surrounding Lane Kiffin’s return to Oxford and came away with a signature victory against a top-ranked opponent. The Rebels beat a great-looking Louisville and took down an LSU that might still win the national title if it gets its stuff together a bit faster. There are issues – the leaky secondary is going to be a problem – but if Trinidad Chambliss can pull off a win at Florida next week in what should be one of the season’s wildest shootouts, few will be able to match this team’s body of work.6. LSU TigersRecord: (2-1)Up Next: Texas A&MLSU takes the largest tumble in the rankings this week, falling seven spots after Lane Kiffin’s return to Oxford ended with a 32-24 loss to Ole Miss. The Tigers found themselves in a 24-7 halftime hole before making a push in the second half, but they could not complete the comeback against the Rebels. You think we’re jumping off the Lane Train now? Hardly. Ole Miss needed everything in the bag in an all-time grievance game to pull that off. It would be nice if quarterback Sam Leavitt were far, far sharper, but this has the look of a team that needs a bit more tuning, and then – uh oh.7. Indiana HoosiersRecord: (3-0)Up Next: NorthwesternWe all get the drill. Indiana plays someone obnoxiously mediocre, Curt Cignetti says something quirky about how his team will unapologetically beat the holy stuffing out of them, and then we move on. Quarterback Josh Hoover threw for 273 yards and two touchdowns, continuing a strong start to the season for an Indiana offense that has rarely been challenged during non-conference play. Turbo Richard added another explosive element on the ground, rushing for 149 yards and a touchdown as the Hoosiers controlled the game throughout. The drop is more reflective of movement around Indiana than anything the Hoosiers did wrong, as they remain unbeaten and comfortablyNorthwestern, at Rutgers, at Nebraska – lather, rinse, repeat until Ohio State comes to town.8. Miami HurricanesRecord: (3-0)Up Next: Central MichiganQuarterback Darian Mensah continued his strong start to the season, throwing for 220 yards and three touchdowns as he added another productive outing to his early Heisman Trophy résumé. The Hurricanes were unable to completely put Wake Forest away early, but they did enough to remain undefeated and continue building momentum against conference competition. Wake Forest is good, it was a road trip, and not to get mystical or anything, but Friday night games tend to be strange – it’s like teams are thrown off their rhythm. It’ll be all about focus through a quirky-tough ACC run after this week’s layup against Central Michigan.9. USC TrojansRecord: (4-0)Up Next: OregonOkay, so the defense is way-shaky, but it was the first road trip of the season, it was on the other side of the country, and a desperate Rutgers team threw everything, including the kitchen sink, at the Trojans. Whatever … Oregon is coming to town next week.10. Mississippi StateRecord: (3-0)Up Next: Missouri Mississippi State makes its first appearance in the Top 10 after earning a 41-34 road victory over South Carolina and continuing its impressive start to the season.Quarterback Kamario Taylor delivered another big performance, throwing for 251 yards and four touchdowns while overcoming one interception in Columbia. Fluff Bothwell provided balance with 115 rushing yards on 21 carries as the Bulldogs completed another strong road showing. Mississippi State has now put itself firmly on the national radar, with its early-season success

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, NCAAF, MLB and WNBA Previews and Odds - 09/24/26

by Big Al Staff

Thursday, Sep 24, 2026

 The Thursday sports card features NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and WNBA action. Week 3 in the National Football League kicks off with one game. The Green Bay Packers host the Atlanta Falcons on Amazon Prime Video at 8:15 p.m. ET as a 5.5-point favorite with the total set at 42.5 (all odds from DraftKings). Week 4 in NCAAF college football kicks off with one game between FBS opponents. Liberty travels to Coastal Carolina on ESPN at 7:30 p.m. ET as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 50.5.Major League Baseball has 12 games scheduled. The Pittsburgh Pirates play at home against the St. Louis Cardinals at 12:35 p.m. ET as a -163 money-line favorite with a total of 7. The Chicago White Sox play in Kansas City against the Royals at 2:10 p.m. ET as a -122 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Chicago Cubs are at home to take on the Miami Marlins at 2:20 p.m. ET as a -205 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Texas Rangers host the New York Mets on Peacock at 2:35 p.m. ET as a -131 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Arizona Diamondbacks are on the road in Colorado to face the Rockies at 3:10 p.m. ET as a -187 money-line road favorite with a total of 10. The Philadelphia Phillies play at home against the Milwaukee Brewers at 6:05 p.m. ET as a -119 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Boston Red Sox are at home to battle the Cleveland Guardians at 6:45 p.m. ET as a -143 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. The New York Yankees host the Tampa Bay Rays at 7:05 p.m. ET as a -155 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Atlanta Braves play at home against the Cincinnati Reds on FS1 at 7:15 p.m. ET as a -225 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. Two MLB games throw out the first pitch at 9:40 p.m. ET. The Seattle Mariners are at home to play the Los Angeles Angels as a -207 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7. The Houston Astros visit the Athletics. The Los Angeles Dodgers are at home to take on the San Diego Padres as a -172 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. The WNBA has five games on tap. The Connecticut Sun host the Toronto Tempo at 7:00 p.m. ET as a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 168.5. The Washington Mystics play at home against the Chicago Sky on the USA Network at 7:30 p.m. ET as a 12.5-point favorite with a total of 183.5. The Indiana Fever visit Minnesota to face the Lynx at 8:00 p.m. ET as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 183.5. Two more games conclude the WNBA card at 10:00 p.m. ET. The Las Vegas Aces play in Phoenix against the Mercury on the USA Network as a 9.5-point road favorite with a total of 175.5. The Golden State Valkyries are on the road in Los Angeles to challenge the Sparks as an 11.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 158.5. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB and WNBA Previews and Odds - 09/23/26

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Sep 23, 2026

The Wednesday sports card features MLB and WNBA action. Major League Baseball has 16 games scheduled. The Detroit Tigers host the Washington Nationals at 1:10 p.m. ET as a -180 money-line favorite with the total set at 7.5 (all odds from DraftKings). The Baltimore Orioles play at home against the Toronto Blue Jays in the first game of their doubleheader as a -131 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7. The Minnesota Twins travel to San Francisco to play the Giants on Peacock at 3:45 p.m. ET as a -149 money-line road favorite with a total of 7.5. The Orioles are at home to take on the Blue Jays in the second game of their doubleheader at 6:35 p.m. ET as a -130 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Two MLB games throw out the first pitch at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Pittsburgh Pirates host the St. Louis Cardinals as a -121 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Milwaukee Brewers play in Philadelphia against the Phillies as a -145 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The New York Yankees play at home against the Tampa Bay Rays at 7:05 p.m. ET as a -155 money-line favorite with a total of 7. The Boston Red Sox are at home to face the Cleveland Guardians at 7:10 p.m. ET as a -132 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7. The Atlanta Braves host the Cincinnati Reds at 7:15 p.m. ET as a -258 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. Two MLB games start at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Chicago White Sox are on the road in Kansas City to battle the Royals as a -112 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Chicago Cubs play at home against the Miami Marlins as a -175 money-line favorite with a total of 7. The Texas Rangers are at home against the New York Mets at 8:05 p.m. ET as a -115 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The Arizona Diamondbacks visit the Colorado Rockies at 8:40 p.m. ET a a -162 money-line road favorite with a total of 11. The Los Angeles Angels play on the road against the Athletics at 9:40 p.m. ET as a -130 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 9.5. Two games conclude the MLB card at 10:10 p.m. ET. The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres as a -219 money-line favorite with a total of 8. The Seattle Mariners play at home against the Houston Astros on ESPN as a -149 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The WNBA has two games on tap on the USA Network. The New York Liberty are at home to challenge the Atlanta Dream at 8:00 p.m. ET as a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 176.5. The Dallas Wings are on the road to play the Seattle Storm at 10:00 p.m. ET as a 9.5-point road favorite with a total of 170.5. 

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When In Doubt, Listen to What the Oddsmakers Are Telling Us

by Team Del Genio

Wednesday, Sep 23, 2026

Team Del Genio is a small collection of sports handicappers who were previously trained and mentored by Lenny Del Genio. After heading the sportsbook operations at the Frontier and then later at Bally’s, Lenny moved to the other side of the window when he started his sports handicapping service, where he later mentored the next generation of handicappers. By maintaining the perspective of the oddsmakers, Team Del Genio represents a consensus service of a small group of handicappers that Lenny personally trained. This oddsmakers' perspective in handicapping the NFL was very important when assessing the Los Angeles Rams playing at home against the New York Giants for Monday Night Football in the second week of the season. The Los Angeles Rams were the preseason favorites to win the Super Bowl. They traded for Myles Garrett, acquired the cornerback duo from the Kansas City Chiefs, and then convinced future Hall of Famer Aaron Donald to come out of retirement and return to the club. Yet they looked flat and uninspired in their opening week loss against San Francisco, 27-7. In hindsight, it looks like head coach Sean McVay decided not to let the physically demanding trip to Australia, where this game was played in Melbourne, negatively impact the team afterwards. While the 49ers had arrived for the game a week ahead of time to get acclimated to the long plane ride and time zone change, McVay had his team fly in the day before and not even try to get his team to adjust to the time zone. While that may have played a role in their disappointing effort, they should come into this game rested and ready. Many oddsmakers, including DraftKings, installed the Rams as the favorite to win the Super Bowl before the season started at +500 odds. The oddsmakers initially installed Los Angeles as an 8.5-point favorite tonight despite not playing well last week. Teams that were preseason favorites to win the Super Bowl at a +500 price who lost their opening game, yet the oddsmakers installed them as a favorite of 7 or more points, have a 73-59-2 against the spread record. Wide receiver Puka Nacua was dealing with a groin injury that had him questionable to play. It was reported that he is trending in the wrong direction, which probably explains why the market has pushed the line down to -6.5 in some spots. McVay had to deal with Nacua or wide receiver Davanta Adams missing games last year. At one point, he was forced to use three tight ends on the field given injuries at the wide receiver position, and he discovered that this formation led to several matchup advantages. The team drafted Ohio State tight end Max Klare and Miami (FL) tight end C.J. Daniels to make even better use of three tight ends on the field. With Colby Parkinson and Terrance Ferguson, McVay thinks he has four tight ends on the roster that can catch passes and help them in heavier sets for their rushing attack. We expected the Rams offense would be fine both running the ball and in their passing attack with the tight ends and a healthy Adams amongst other wide receivers like Xavier Smith. On defense, the team was going to be without Myles Garrett, who ws dealing with an injury. Yet after not taking the trip to Australia, defensive tackle Aaron Donald was expected to make his season debut tonight. While it was yet to be determined if he will immediately be back to the level he was when he last played in the 2023-24 season, his physical presence is so imposing that he still may demand double-teaming. McVay has been excellent at getting his team ready to play off losses. Los Angeles had a 33-20-3 against the spread record in his head coaching career following a loss in their previous game, and they have covered the point spread in seven of their previous eight games following a loss. The New York Giants seemed to be immediately better last week under new head coach John Harbaugh. In their 28-20 upset victory at home against Dallas as a 3.5-point underdog, they gained 394 yards and had the ball on offense for just 37 minutes. Yet the Giants have covered the point spread only once in their previous four games after pulling off an upset victory. Playing at home helped last week, with an energetic crowd for Sunday Night Football excited to begin the Harbaugh era. Now they hit the road, where they have covered the point spread in just four of their previous twelve games against NFC opponents. Jaxson Dart played well by completing 23 of 29 passes for 230 yards and three touchdowns without an interception. Yet that was against the Cowboys' defense. While that Dallas unit should be better this year, the Rams defense is expected to be one of the top three groups in the NFL. Dart experienced some problems with his decision-making and playing under center rather than the shotgun, which the veteran Rams defense should exploit. Wide receiver Malik Nabers returned from his long recovery from ACL surgery. While he helped the offense by simply being on the field, he was not as dynamic as he was pre-injury, as he hopes to regain confidence in his leg. The defense may be without cornerback Deonte Banks and linebacker Micah McFadden, who are both dealing with injuries. Harbaugh may be one of the best head coaches in the game, yet he is not a miracle worker. After a 4-13 record last year, the Giants have lost ten or more games in ten of the previous twelve seasons. The Giants traded away defensive lineman Dexter Lawrence. After upsetting the Cowboys last week, it was a good opportunity to sell high on Harbaugh and New York while buying the Rams at probably the lowest point in their value with the betting public all season. The Rams were our NFL Monday Night TV Game of the Month. Los Angeles dominated the game in a 28-6 victory. They gained 481 yards and went into halftime with a 14-3 lead. Dart got injured and left the game in the 1st Half. New York only gained 182 yards in the game, with backup quarterback Jameis Winston struggling. The oddsmakers had this one right (and so did we. Thanks, Lenny!). Good luck  - TDG.

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UFC Fight Night Picks: (Sept 26th)

by AAA Sports

Tuesday, Sep 22, 2026

UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos takes place on Saturday, September 26, 2026, at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas. The main event features a battle of bantamweights. Raúl Rosas Jr. AKA "El Nino Problema" is still a couple weeks shy of his 22nd birthday but he's already got a 12-1 record. Rosas Jr. is off five straight wins. Most recently, he defeated Rob Font (now 39 years old) in a unanimous decision, his third straight decision victory. Once again, El Nino Problema will be taking on a fighter old enough to be his father. Raoni Barcelos is now 39. However, unlike Font, who is just 3-6 his past night fights, Barcelos (22-5) has won five straight, the past four coming by decision. The Matchup: Primarily a grappler, outside of the decision wins, Rosas Jr. also has six submission victories to his credit. In the UFC, he's averaging over six takedowns per 15 minutes. That elite level of grappling has been too much for most of his opponents. However, Barcelos is a better wrestler than most of Rosas' previous foes. A well-rounded, physically strong fighter, given his current form, Barcelos is arguably Rosas Jr's most dangerous fight.  The Odds: Despite Barcelos' recent run of success, Rosas Jr. is a -170 favorite. Given that these fighters have "gone the distance" in seven straight combined fights, its not surprising that the "over 3.5 rounds" option comes with a -170 price tag.The Verdict: The price is a little steep but this fight will very likely be decided by the judges. Barcelos should be stuff most of Rosas' takedown attempts and survive the ones which he can't. Play the Over 3.5 rounds._______________________________Ailin Pérez (13-2) vs Norma "The Immortal" Dumont (12-2). One of the more interesting contests on Saturday's card features a pair of highly ranked female bantamweight fighters. Not only do Dumont (35) and Pérez (31) have similar records but there's also some bad blood between the two. Dumont lost her last fight by decision. She won her previous six fights though and she's 2-0 when coming off a loss. Pérez is off six straight wins. The Matchup: Pérez's style features pressure, clinch work and takedowns. Once she gets her opponent down, she likes grinding from top position. In addition to being four years younger, Pérez also has a strong defense. She absorbs 1.58 significant strikes per minute, compared with Dumont's 2.33. Dumont has the physical edge and she also has the higher striking output. She's 5'7" with a 67" reach against Pérez's 5'5" and 66" reach. Dumont also lands 3.85 significant strikes per minute to Pérez's 2.88. At the beginning of her UFC career, Dumont fought at featherweight, which is 145 pounds instead of 135. So she's likely going to be the bigger, stronger woman in the clinch.The Odds: While she started out as a very slight favorite, Pérez is currently laying -140. The total is set at 2.5 rounds with price on the over coming in at at outrageous -540.The Verdict: This should be a close battle which goes the distance. Ultimately, the underdog's physical strength and size will make the difference. Play Norma Dumont

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ASA's NFL Thursday Night Preview - Falcons vs Packers

by ASA, Inc.

Tuesday, Sep 22, 2026

ASA’s NFL THURSDAY NIGHT PREVIEW Atlanta Falcons (0-2) at Green Bay Packers (1-1) Thursday, Sept. 24, 8:15 p.m. ET | Lambeau Field | Prime Video, The Packers open their home schedule against an Atlanta team that has scored just 8 points per game and remains winless. Green Bay is coming off a sloppy but historic overtime win over the Jets; the Falcons are turning to Michael Penix Jr. after two lifeless offensive performances.  SPREAD AND TOTAL - The spread on this game currently sits at -6.5 at most books as of Tuesday afternoon.  This line opened -7.5 and pushed down through 7 after QB Penix was named the starter.  The total has dropped from an opener of 46.5 to 44.5 on Tuesday.  Both of Atlanta’s games have gone under, while Green Bay is 1-1.  ATLANTA AND TURNOVERS - Turnovers have been a huge issue for the Falcons thus far.  They lost 34-3 last week to Carolina, but they also had 5 turnovers (Carolina had 0).  Atlanta has 7 turnovers in two games, including 2 pick-sixes, with only 1 takeaway. The -6 turnover differential is last in the NFL. You cannot win games in the NFL with those turnover numbers. ATLANTA OFFENSE STRUGGLING- Atlanta offense under 3rd string QB Cooper Rush: 16 total points, last in the NFL at 8 PPG, and only 1  touchdown. The Falcons have reached the red zone 0 times this season.  Their lone TD came from 23 yards out against the Steelers, so technically they were never “in” the red zone. Last week they scored 3 points and never got inside the 20 against a Carolina defense that had just allowed 59 points to Chicago a week earlier.  For comparison’s sake Atlanta averaged 4.3 YPP vs. Carolina while the previous week the Panthers allowed Chicago to rack up 7.9 YPP.   On the season, Atlanta is averaging 4.2 YPP, ahead of only Pittsburgh.   RUSH SITS, PENIX STARTS – QB Michael Penix will start this game, coming back from an ACL tear.  He didn’t play in the preseason and has not played since Nov. 16 last year so rust could definitely be a factor.  Over his first two seasons he completed 59.6% of his passes for 2,757 yards, 12 TDs and 6 INTs.  Tua Tagovailoa is still injured from the preseason (oblique) and remains out.  GREEN BAY OFFENSIVE LINE – The Packers have one of the most inexperienced offensive lines in the NFL – 29th in combined career starts.  They haven’t been able to run the ball averaging just 64.5 YPG on the ground (last in the NFL) after putting up 118 YPG rushing last season.  They are averaging a league low 19.5 carries per game.  On top of their inexperience, the offensive line is now banged up with veteran OT Bako-Bewele out and OG Banks questionable.  HOW DID GREEN BAY WIN LAST WEEK?  The Packers trailed 17-7 with less than 8:00 remaining in the game @ NY Jets last Sunday.  Their 20-17 OT win comeback win was ugly and unprecedented. Green Bay became the first team in NFL history to win a game with fewer than 200 total yards, 100-plus penalty yards, and a negative turnover margin.  Teams in that spot had been 0-44 SU entering the game. It was also only the third time in the last 10 seasons the Packers were held under 200 total yards. That win however did preserve a rare streak: Green Bay is the only NFL team that has not started a season 0-2 at any point in the last 20 years.   ATS INFORMATION – Both teams are 0-2 ATS to start the season.  The Packers are now in a historically tough betting spot. Since 2000, teams coming off an overtime game on Sunday and then playing Thursday night are 6-26 ATS.  It already happened once this season, when Detroit got rolled at Buffalo after an OT win the previous Sunday.  Atlanta is just 6-10-1 ATS as a dog of 6 or more since the start of the 2021 season.  Packers have one of the best long term home favorite cover rates in the NFL.  Since 1992 they’ve cashed nearly 58% of the time as a home chalk (140-103-10 ATS record).  The Falcons have gone Under the Total in each of their first 3 games of the season the last 3 years.  8-0 to the Under trying to make it a perfect 9-0 on Thursday night.     THURSDAY WEATHER - As of Tuesday afternoon, the weather in Green Bay looks perfect on Thursday night.  Temps in the 50's, very light winds, and no precipitation.

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Five Defining NFL Observations Through Week 2

by Vegas Writer

Tuesday, Sep 22, 2026

Two weeks cannot reveal everything about an NFL season, but they can expose qualities that travel: quarterback stability, adaptability, explosive talent and the ability to survive adversity. Eight teams remain undefeated after the Rams closed Week 2 with a 28-6 rout of the Giants: Buffalo, Cincinnati, Kansas City, Las Vegas, Minnesota, Philadelphia, San Francisco and Seattle. Some arrived as expected contenders; others have immediately challenged their preseason projections.The opening fortnight has also emphasized the danger of treating one performance as a permanent identity.Los Angeles looked disjointed in Australia, then produced 481 yards Monday despite missing Puka Nacua. Across the league, several teams erased double-digit deficits, established quarterbacks delivered historic performances and premier playmakers reminded everyone how dramatically one matchup can turn. These are not declarations about February.They are five evidence-based observations about what appears sustainable, what deserves attention and which early developments could meaningfully shape the next four months of the 2026 NFL season.1. The unbeaten teams possess different - but legitimate - winning formulasAn undefeated record after two weeks guarantees nothing, but the composition of this year’s 2-0 group is revealing. Buffalo, Cincinnati, Kansas City, Minnesota, Philadelphia, San Francisco and Seattle all entered the season with credible postseason expectations. Las Vegas represents the outlier - and perhaps the most interesting evaluation.The Raiders are the first team since the 2014 Texans to begin 2-0 after winning three games or fewer the previous season. At 38, Kirk Cousins has delivered three touchdown passes in consecutive games while providing the offensive stability Las Vegas lacked last year. Their 26-14 victory over the Chargers was not merely another close escape; it suggested the Raiders can control an important divisional game with quarterback efficiency and complementary football.Kansas City’s 33-30 overtime victory over Indianapolis looked much different. Patrick Mahomes threw for 382 yards and three touchdowns, while Harrison Butker made four field goals, including the winner as time expired. The Chiefs were imperfect, but their ability to solve problems within games remains one of the league’s most dependable advantages.The eight teams are not equally strong, but each has already shown at least one sustainable winning trait: quarterback play, defensive disruption, explosive offense, roster depth or situational execution.2. Quarterback certainty remains the NFL’s greatest separatorWeek 2 reinforced the difference between teams that know exactly what they have at quarterback and those whose seasons can change with one hit.Brock Purdy delivered the weekend’s most complete performance, completing 20 of 22 passes for 287 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for another score in San Francisco’s 35-13 victory over Miami. He became the first quarterback in NFL history to complete at least 90% of his passes while generating 285 passing yards, two touchdown passes and a rushing touchdown.Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase connected for two more scores in Cincinnati’s 20-6 win at Houston, bringing their total to 50 career touchdown connections. Dak Prescott threw four touchdown passes against Washington and surpassed Tony Romo as the Cowboys’ career leader with 249.Monday provided the counterpoint. Giants quarterback Jaxson Dart injured his knee on New York’s opening possession, leaving Jameis Winston to direct an offense that finished with six points and converted only 3 of 14 third downs. The Giants produced just three points from multiple takeaways, showing how quickly an offense can collapse when the starting quarterback disappears.Two weeks have not settled every quarterback debate, but they have reinforced the sport’s most enduring truth: competent quarterback play raises a team’s weekly floor, while elite quarterback play can rescue almost everything else.3. The league’s best teams are already showing recovery powerFour teams - Cleveland, Denver, Green Bay and New Orleans - overcame second-half deficits of at least 10 points Sunday. Green Bay needed overtime to beat the Jets, and Kansas City followed with an overtime win over Indianapolis. For the fifth time in six seasons, each of the opening two weeks included at least one overtime game.Those results demonstrate more than parity. They reveal how quickly NFL games can change when quarterbacks remain patient, coaches adjust protection or coverage and defenses create one additional possession.Jordan Love threw two touchdowns without an interception during Green Bay’s rally. Through his first 50 starts, he has recorded 19 games with multiple touchdown passes and no interceptions, trailing only Mahomes over a quarterback’s first 50 starts. That is not simply an attractive early-career statistic; it reflects his ability to create scoring plays without consistently exposing the Packers to game-changing mistakes.Los Angeles found another way to recover on Monday. After being overwhelmed by San Francisco in Australia, the Rams returned home and accumulated 481 yards while playing without Nacua. Matthew Stafford responded to his difficult opener by throwing for 327 yards and four touchdowns in the 28-6 win.The observation is not that every comeback team is a contender. It is that resilience, adjustments and quarterback composure are already distinguishing teams capable of surviving their worst stretches.4. Elite skill-position players are controlling games, not merely compiling statisticsThe opening two weeks have produced extraordinary individual numbers, but the larger story is how completely the league’s premier playmakers are shaping defensive strategy.Christian McCaffrey reached 100 career scrimmage touchdowns in his 114th game, the fourth-fastest pace of the Super Bowl era. Chase’s two-touchdown afternoon strengthened the NFL’s most productive deep-scoring partnership since he entered the league in 2021.Seattle’s Jaxon Smith-Njigba delivered the most explosive receiving performance Sunday, catching nine passes for 155 yards and three touchdowns, including an 82-yard score. Through two games, the reigning Offensive Player of the Year has 17 receptions for 277 yards and four touchdowns. His ability to win underneath, after the catch and vertically gives Seattle answers regardless of how opponents defend the formation.Davante Adams then took over Monday night with Nacua sidelined, catching eight passes for 195 yards and two touchdowns. Stafford repeatedly found him against isolated coverage, and Adams supplied nearly 60% of the quarterback’s passing yardage. His performance allowed the Rams to maintain an explosive passing game despite missing their other featured receiver.These performances are not statistical accidents. McCaffrey, Chase, Smith-Njigba and Adams are altering coverages, creating favorable opportunities for teammates and giving their quarterbacks reliable answers when structure breaks down.5. Depth and adaptability will matter as much as preseason projectionsThe Rams’ Monday night response may be Week 2’s clearest warning against overreacting to an opener. Los Angeles went from producing fewer than 300 yards against San Francisco to overwhelming New York without Nacua. Stafford recovered, Adams absorbed the increased workload and the defense prevented the Giants from converting turnovers into touchdowns.The Giants experienced the other side of the equation. Dart’s knee injury was followed by physical concerns involving Malik Nabers, Andrew Thomas and Brian Burns. New York’s defense created opportunities, including Jevón Holland’s interception, forced fumble and recovery, but the depleted offense could not capitalize. The Giants must now evaluate Dart on a short week after X-rays were negative and an MRI was scheduled.Carolina provides another example of successful adaptation. Bryce Young threw for 287 yards and three touchdowns in a 34-3 rout of Atlanta, helping the Panthers score at least 30 points in each of their first two games for the first time in franchise history. That does not make Carolina a finished product, but it suggests its offensive development deserves to be taken seriously.The NFL’s opening fortnight has confirmed that talent sets expectations, but adaptability determines which teams survive injuries, poor starts, and the league's weekly volatility.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB and WNBA Previews and Odds - 09/22/26

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Sep 22, 2026

The Tuesday sports card features MLB and WNBA action. Major League Baseball has 16 games scheduled. The New York Yankees host the Tampa Bay Rays in the opening game of their doubleheader at 1:05 p.m. ET as a -131 money-line favorite with the total set at 7 (all odds from DraftKings). The Baltimore Orioles play at home against the Toronto Blue Jays at 6:35 p.m. ET as a -122 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Three more MLB games throw out the first pitch at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Pittsburgh Pirates are at home to take on the St. Louis Cardinals as a -155 money-line favorite with a total of 7. The Detroit Tigers host the Washington Nationals on Peacock as a -156 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Philadelphia Phillies play at home against the Milwaukee Brewers as a -137 money-line favorite with a total of 7. The Boston Red Sox are at home to face the Cleveland Guardians at 6:45 p.m. ET as a -131 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Yankees host the Rays in the second game of their doubleheader at 7:05 p.m. ET as a -137 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Atlanta Braves play at home against the Cincinnati Reds at 7:15 p.m. ET as a -193 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9. Two more MLB games start at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Chicago Cubs are at home to challenge the Miami Marlins as a -218 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Chicago White Sox travel to Kansas City to battle the Royals as a -120 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8. The Texas Rangers host the New York Mets at 8:05 p.m. ET as a -149 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Arizona Diamondbacks play in Colorado against the Rockies at 8:40 p.m. ET as a -198 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 11. Two MLB games begin at 9:40 p.m. ET. The Seattle Mariners play at home against the Houston Astros as a -149 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Athletics are at home to face the Los Angeles Angels as a -110 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9.5. The Minnesota Twins are on the road in San Francisco to take on the Giants at 9:45 p.m. ET as a -131 money-line road favorite with a total of 7.5. The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres on TBS at 10:10 p.m. ET as a -120 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The WNBA has five games on tap. The Washington Mystics play at home against the Connecticut Sun at 7:30 p.m. ET as a 14.5-point favorite with a total of 158.5. Two more WNBA games tip off at 8:00 p.m. ET. The Minnesota Lynx visit Indiana to challenge the Fever on ESPN as a 1.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 187.5. The Chicago Sky are at home to battle the Toronto Tempo as a 5.5-point favorite with a total of 179.5. Two games conclude the WNBA card at 10:00 p.m. ET. The Golden State Valkyries play in Portland against the Fire as a 14.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 157.5. The Las Vegas Aces host the Los Angeles Sparks on ESPN as a 16.5-point favorite with a total of 178.5. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, MLB and WNBA Previews and Odds - 09/21/26

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Sep 21, 2026

The Monday sports card features NFL, MLB, and WNBA action. Week 2 in the NFL concludes with one game. The Los Angeles Rams host the New York Giants on ABC/ESPN/ESPN2 (ManningCast) at 8:15 p.m. ET. The Rams attempt to rebound from their 27-7 upset loss against the San Francisco 49ers in Australia as a 3.5-point favorite on September 10th. The Giants upset the Dallas Cowboys by a 28-20 score as a 3.5-point underdog last Sunday. Los Angeles is a 7-point favorite with the total set at 47.5 (all odds from DraftKings).Major League Baseball has three games scheduled. The Baltimore Orioles play at home against the Toronto Blue Jays at 6:35 p.m. ET. The Orioles are on a three-game losing streak after a 13-0 loss at home against the Milwaukee Brewers last night. They are in last place in the AL East with a 75-81 record. They trail the Tampa Bay Rays in first place by 20 1/2 games. The Blue Jays ended a two-game losing streak with a 7-2 victory at Texas against the Rangers on Sunday. With their 77-79 record, they are in fourth place in the AL East, trailing the Rays by 18 1/2 games. Baltimore gives the ball to Shane Baz to pitch against Toronto’s Trey Yesavage, who is coming off the injured list. The Orioles are a -111 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The Detroit Tigers are at home to take on the Washington Nationals on Peacock at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Tigers lost for the third time in their previous four games in a 3-1 loss in Chicago against the White Sox on Sunday. They are in fourth place in the AL Central with a 73-83 record, trailing the first place Cleveland Guardians by eight games. The Nationals had won two games in a row before a 5-3 loss in St. Louis against the Cardinals yesterday. Their 73-83 record puts them in fourth place in the NL East, 19 games behind the Atlanta Braves in first place. River Ryan takes the mound for Detroit to duel against D.J. Herz for Washington. The Tigers are a -156 money-line favorite with a total of 8.The Minnesota Twins travel to San Francisco to battle the Giants at 9:45 p.m. ET. The Twins won for the second time in their previous three games with an 8-0 victory in Los Angeles against the Angels yesterday. Their 73-83 record puts them in third place in the AL Central, eight games behind the Guardians. The Giants have lost three games in a row after a 3-1 loss in Los Angeles against the Dodgers on Sunday. With a 64-92 record, they are in fourth place in the NL West, 32 games out of first place trailing the Dodgers. Minnesota taps Zebby Matthews to challenge San Francisco’s Blade Tidwell. The Twins are a -117 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8. The WNBA has two games on tap. The Atlanta Dream play in New York against the Liberty on Peacock/NBC Sports Network at 8:00 p.m. ET. The Dream are on a three-game winning streak with seven victories in their last eight games after a 106-81 victory at home against the Chicago Sky as a 14.5-point favorite on Saturday. They are in first place in the Eastern Conference. The Liberty are on a three-game winning streak after their 106-69 victory in Toronto against the Tempo as a 15.5-point favorite on Sunday. With a 26-16 record, they are in third place in the Eastern Conference, three games out of first place. Atlanta is a 1.5-point road favorite with a total of 178.5. The Dallas Wings are on the road in Phoenix to play the Mercury on the USA Network at 10:00 p.m. ET. The Wings are on a six-game winning streak after an 87-82 victory at home against the Mercury as a 10.5-point favorite on Saturday. Their 26-16 record puts them in fourth place in the Western Conference, 6 1/2 games behind the Minnesota Lynx in first place. Phoenix had won two games in a row before their loss two days ago. Dallas is a 5.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 171.5.  

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, MLB, WNBA and EPL Previews and Odds - 09/20/26

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Sep 20, 2026

The Sunday sports card features NFL, MLB, WNBA, and EPL action. Week 1 in the NFL continues with 13 games. Eight NFL games kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET. The Philadelphia Eagles travel to Tennessee to take on the Titans as a 7-point road favorite with the total set at 39.5 (all odds from DraftKings). The Chicago Bears host the Minnesota Vikings as a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 47.5. The New England Patriots play at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers as a 5.5-point favorite with a total of 41.5. The Green Bay Packers play in New York against the Jets as a 3.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 44.5. The Baltimore Ravens are at home to take on the New Orleans Saints as an 8.5-point favorite with a total of 45.5. The Houston Texans host the Cincinnati Bengals as a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 45.5. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers play at home against the Cleveland Guardians as a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 41.5. The Carolina Panthers are on the road in Atlanta to play the Falcons as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 43.5. Two NFL games start at 4:05 p.m. ET. The Los Angeles Chargers are at home to face the Las Vegas Raiders as a 7-point favorite with a total of 43.5. The Denver Broncos host the Jacksonville Jaguars as a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 45.5. Three more NFL games begin at 4:25 p.m. ET. The San Francisco 49ers play at home against the Miami Dolphins as a 13.5-point favorite with a total of 44.5. The Seattle Seahawks visit Arizona to battle the Cardinals as a 3.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 40.5. The Dallas Cowboys play at home against the Washington Commanders as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 50.5. Sunday Night Football on NBC features the Kansas City Chiefs at home to challenge the Indianapolis Colts. The Chiefs are a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 46.5. Major League Baseball has 15 games scheduled. The Philadelphia Phillies visit New York to play the Mets at 1:10 p.m. ET as a -166 money-line road favorite with a total of 8. The Kansas City Royals play in Pittsburgh against the Pirates at 1:35 p.m. ET as a -124 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Three MLB games throw out the first pitch at 1:40 p.m. ET. The Cleveland Guardians are at home against the Athletics as a -238 money-line favorite with a total of 7. The Tampa Bay Rays host the Boston Red Sox as a -150 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Chicago Cubs are in Cincinnati to play the Reds as a -155 money-line road favorite with a total of 10. Two MLB games start at 2:10 p.m. ET. The Chicago White Sox play at home against the Detroit Tigers as a -121 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Houston Astros are at home to face the Atlanta Braves as a -143 money-line favorite with a total of 8. The St. Louis Cardinals host the Washington Nationals at 2:15 p.m. ET as a -149 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9. The Texas Rangers play at home against the Toronto Blue Jays as a -169 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Seattle Mariners travel to Colorado to play the Rockies at 3:10 p.m. ET as a -162 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 11. The Minnesota Twins play in Los Angeles against the Angels at 4:07 p.m. ET as a -121 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.5. Three more MLB games begin at 4:10 p.m. ET. The New York Yankees are on the road in Arizona to play the Diamondbacks as -114 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The San Diego Padres are at home to face the Miami Marlins as a -142 money-line favorite with a total of 8. The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Francisco Giants. Sunday Night Baseball on Peacock/NBC Sports Network has the Milwaukee Brewers traveling to Baltimore to take on the Orioles at 7:20 p.m. ET. The Brewers are a -206 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The WNBA has fives games on tap. The Minnesota Lynx play in Connecticut against the Sun at 1:00 p.m. ET as a 17.5-point road favorite with a total of 167.5. The New York Liberty are on the road in Toronto against the Tempo at 3:00 p.m. ET as a 14.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 177.5 The Indiana Fever host the Washington Mystics at 4:00 p.m. ET as a 6.5-point favorite with a total of 177.5 The Los Angeles Sparks plays at home on the USA Network as a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 174.5. The Las Vegas Aces is at home to play the Seattle Storm on the USA Network at 9:00 p.m. ET as a 14.5-point favorite with a total of 175.5. Matchweek 4 in the English Premier League continues with four matches. Three EPL matches start at 9:00 a.m. ET. Liverpool travels to Bournemouth on the USA Network as a -0.5 goal line road favorite with an over/under of 3.5. Leeds United hosts Crystal Palace as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. Manchester City plays at home against Sunderland as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Manchester United plays at Fulham on NBC at 11:30 a.m. ET as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 3.5.

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