Nelly’s Sportsline has been at the forefront of the handicapping world since the 1990 football season, Joe Nelson has been the lead handicapper since 2003.
Active since: 1990
Location: Madison, Wisconsin
Widely known for the Nelly’s Sportsline Green Sheet weekly newsletter in the football season, Nelly’s Sportsline has provided consistent returns for scores of clients nationwide for more than three decades. In the lead role for nearly two decades, Joe Nelson has earned significant acclaim for contest wins, top rankings on national leaderboards, impressive win percentages, as well as being recognized for providing outstanding content and analysis showcasing an intimate understanding of the workings and cycles of the three major American sports and the active wagering marketplace.
Some recent highlights:
2020-21 Football: In the atypical 2020-21 football season Nelly’s Sportsline delivered an impressive showing in both college and NFL football, posting an incredible closing run through the bowls and NFL Playoffs. Nelly’s finished at exactly 60.0% in the 2020-21 NFL season including a 10-1 run through the playoffs and the Super Bowl, backing Tampa Bay and turning in a perfect card on a handful of Super Bowl props. Nelly’s finished the 2020-21 college football season with a winning selection on Alabama in the championship game to complete the college season with a 62.5% winning percentage, closing the season on an epic 75.0% run from November 7 on, including a 77.8% winning percentage in bowl releases.
2020-21 Basketball: Nelly’s finished the NBA regular season winning at a 62.0% pace, for a fourth consecutive NBA regular season above a 60.0% winning percentage. Nelly’s finished the 2020-21 college basketball regular season at 62.7%.
2020 Baseball: Nelly’s turned in a profitable MLB season for the fifth time in the previous six years in the abbreviated 2020 baseball season. Totals were a standout with a 61.1% winning percentage on MLB over/under selections in the 2020 regular season.
2019-20 Basketball: Nelly’s hit 62.9% in the 2019-20 NBA regular season before the pause in March. Nelly’s added a 63.6% winning percentage in the NBA restart to complete a 63.1% regular season. Nelly’s was also profitable in college basketball before the season was cancelled at 54.5%.
2018-19 Football: Nelly’s had winning records and slightly profitable results in both the NFL and NCAA seasons.
2018-19 Basketball: Nelly’s finished at 57.7% in the 2018-19 college basketball season including a 62.5% winning percentage in the 2019 NCAA Tournament capped off by selecting Virginia for the championship. Nelly’s had a historically great NBA regular season finishing at 66.1% in 2018-19 including an 84.2% run in December 2018 that included an 11-game winning streak while also posting a 14-game winning streak late in the season.
2018 Baseball: Nelly’s grinded out a profitable MLB regular season at 52.7% with the vast majority of those selections being underdogs or totals. Nelly’s had a 62.2% winning percentage in the 2018 MLB postseason including hitting 77.8% in postseason totals.
2017-18 Football: Nelly’s turned in an incredibly profitable 2017-18 NFL season hitting 60.7% in the regular season and 71.4% in the NFL playoffs, backing the Eagles in all three of their playoff games through the Super Bowl upset. Nelly’s also hit 63.6% in the 2017-18 college bowl season.
2017-18 Basketball: Nelly’s hit 61.1% in the 2017-18 college basketball season including a 68.8% winning percentage in the 2018 NCAA Tournament after backing Villanova in both Final Four games. That season included a 73.5% pace in February 2018 college basketball. Nelly’s hit 63.1% in the 2017-18 NBA regular season including a 66.7% mark in the first half before the All-Star break, while posting a winning record in every single month of that NBA regular season.
2017 Baseball: Nelly’s turned in a third straight profitable MLB season in 2017 including a 66.7% mark in the World Series. In that season Nelly’s posted two separate eight-game winning streaks with solely underdog selections.
2016-17 Football: Nelly’s closed the season on a strong note with a 69.4% mark in the 2016-17 college bowl season.
2016-17 Basketball: Nelly’s turned in a phenomenal March Madness run hitting 65.0% in NCAA Tournament selections and a 62.2% winning percentage from March 1 through backing North Carolina in early April for the championship. Nelly’s also turned in a 60.0% record in the NBA Playoffs in 2017.
2016 Baseball: Nelly’s hit 54.6% in the 2016 MLB regular season with almost exclusively underdogs and totals for a massive profit return, including hitting 60.5% on totals in the regular season and 66.7% on totals in the 2016 MLB postseason.
2015-16 Football: Nelly’s hit 61.9% in the 2015-16 NFL season including posting an 85.7% winning clip in the NFL playoffs, while backing the Broncos to blast the Panthers in the Super Bowl. Nelly’s hit 71.4% in the 2015-16 college bowl season including riding Clemson as an underdog in their narrow loss to Alabama for the playoff title.
2015-16 Basketball: Nelly’s hit 61.9% in the 2015-16 college basketball regular season including three huge months with an 87.5% November 2015, a 65.8% January 2016, and a 61.9% February 2016. Nelly’s also had a profitable NBA regular season in 2015-16.
2015 Baseball: A 63.6% month of April with almost exclusively underdogs buoyed a profitable MLB season in 2015, a season finished off by backing the Royals as an underdog in each of their four World Series wins.
2014-15 Football: Nelly’s had an 85.7% winning percentage in the 2014-15 NFL playoffs for a great closing run.
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NFL - Point Spread - Sun, Nov 01 @ 01:00 PM
Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills
Baltimore Ravens +3 (+100) (Consensus Line)
Buffalo scored 22 fourth quarter points in a Week 1 Sunday night win hosting Baltimore last season, including 16 points in the final four minutes. Baltimore had 8.6 yards per play in that game despite losing. Both teams are in coaching change seasons, and the Ravens have slipped to 4-3 with back-...
Buffalo scored 22 fourth quarter points in a Week 1 Sunday night win hosting Baltimore last season, including 16 points in the final four minutes. Baltimore had 8.6 yards per play in that game despite losing. Both teams are in coaching change seasons, and the Ravens have slipped to 4-3 with back-to-back division losses while trying to weather Lamar Jackson’s absence. Buffalo is off a bye week, and the Bills are the top scoring team in the NFL averaging nearly 33 points per game. The past two wins for the Bulls have come by just three points however and five of six games this season for Buffalo have featured a one-score final margin with the Bills 2-1 S/U and ATS in the team’s new stadium. Jackson is expected to start and should be playing close to full strength, going up against one of the worst defenses in the NFL. The Bills are the only team in the NFL ranking in bottom three of both EPA/play and opponent success rate and the Bills are allowing a passer rating of over 102. The Ravens are an elite rushing team with Derrick Henry on pace for another great season, and Buffalo’s run defense is likely worse than the numbers suggest, with the Bills often being involved in back-and-forth high-scoring finishes. Buffalo has C.J. Garnder-Johnson suspended to hurt the defense while the offense could be without both DJ Moore and Dalton Kincaid who are both questionable on the injury report. While only one of the wins has come under new head coach Jesse Minter, Baltimore is 23-9 ATS as an underdog since 2018. Thank you for playing with Nelly’s and Best of Luck. Nelly’s went 3-1 in college football yesterday and we own a 23-12-1 NFL record this season for nearly 66% in the regular season so far. That includes a combined 8-1-1 record in NFL Week 6 and Week 7. Nelly’s has won eight AFC picks in a row and Sunday’s AFC Best Bet is set in addition to two other NFL sides on the Week 8 schedule. Nelly’s finished as a top 3 win percentage leader in the 2025-26 NFL season and we’re on our way to another great season.NFL - Point Spread - Sun, Nov 01
Nelly’s has hit nearly 66% in the NFL so far this season with a 23-12 regular season record. That includes an 8-1-1 m...
Nelly’s has hit nearly 66% in the NFL so far this season with a 23-12 regular season record. That includes an 8-1-1 mark in NFL Week 6 and Week 7 combined as part of a great late October all sports run. Nelly’s also has an 8-1 season record in AFC releases and that includes eight wins in a row after a Week 1 miss. Join us for an AFC Best Bet Sunday in Week 8 for another great NFL result from Nelly’s.$30
SOCCER - Over / Under - Sun, Nov 01
Nelly’s had a 3-2 Saturday and we’re at nearly 69% the past seven days across all sports with a great late October ru...
Nelly’s had a 3-2 Saturday and we’re at nearly 69% the past seven days across all sports with a great late October run. Get an early winner to start November as we look to deliver overseas in EPL Matchweek 9 with a goals total Sunday morning. Nelly’s has won two of our last three in our selective EPL releases and today’s huge pairing provides a great opportunity.$30
NFL - Point Spread - Sun, Nov 01
Nelly’s had an 8-1-1 mark in NFL Weeks 6 and 7 combined and we are ready for another huge Sunday looking to add to a ...
Nelly’s had an 8-1-1 mark in NFL Weeks 6 and 7 combined and we are ready for another huge Sunday looking to add to a nearly 66% regular season record so far this season. Nelly’s takes on a key division battle in NFC action on Sunday’s full schedule for our NFC Division Delivery, while looking for a big start to November after a great late October run across all sports.$30
NFL - Point Spread - Sun, Nov 01
Nelly’s is having a tremendous NFL season with a nearly 66% success rate going 23-12 in regular season releases. That...
Nelly’s is having a tremendous NFL season with a nearly 66% success rate going 23-12 in regular season releases. That includes an 8-1-1 mark in Week 6 and Week 7 combined. Score Sunday in our AFC/NFC Knockout as we are ready to deliver a huge Week 8 winner in the spotlight Sunday afternoon.$30
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