NBA 20-star High Roller Total - Thursday
- Handicapper
- Jim Feist
- League
- NBA
- Competition
- Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans
- Release Date
- 10/29/2026 09:46 AM
- Event Date
- 10/29/2026 08:10 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans Over 236.5 (-108)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans - the over case is driven by two defenses that have not stopped anyone yet. Sacramento is 0-4 while allowing 125.5 points per game, giving up 121, 128, 123, and 130 in its four games, including 80 points in a single half against San Antonio on Tuesday. New Orleans is also 0-4 while allowing 122.0 points per game, and both teams rank near the top of the league in points allowed and second-chance points allowed, so extra possessions are turning into extra points at both ends.
The offenses have enough to take advantage. Sacramento averages 107.8 points per game despite that record, with Zach LaVine at 27.3 points per game, Domantas Sabonis coming off 20 points, 14 rebounds, and eight assists against the Spurs, and De'Andre Hunter adding 24 in that loss. New Orleans averages 116.25 points per game, led by Zion Williamson, and has been competitive in defeat, dropping three of four by six points or fewer including an overtime loss in Denver. Sacramento should score more than its season average against a Pelicans defense giving up 122 a night, and New Orleans should do the same against a Kings defense giving up 125.5, even with New Orleans on the second night of a back-to-back, because tired legs tend to hurt defense first.
Jim's Play: OVER the Total