TOM'S 32-5 ATS NFL ULTIMATE DATABASE WAGER
- Handicapper
- Tom Stryker
- League
- NFL
- Competition
- Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers
- Release Date
- 10/29/2026 07:53 AM
- Event Date
- 10/29/2026 08:15 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Carolina Panthers +4 (-110)
(BetMGM)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- #109 CAROLINA (+) over Green Bay at 8:15 PM EST
After last Sunday’s embarrassing 43-13 home loss to the Buccaneers, the Panthers head to Lambeau Field for Thursday night’s primetime matchup, where they will challenge the Packers. Green Bay enters this NFC contest following a three-point road loss to division rival Detroit, setting up another tough game for head coach Matt LaFleur and the Packers.
Technically, this is a lucrative spot for the visitors. Since 1990, NFL road teams that slide in off a blowout loss of 28 points or more hold a profitable 111-73-7 ATS record provided they are facing a foe that battled on the road in their last contest. If this is a non-division matchup and our guest is priced as a favorite or an underdog of +7 or less, this fast-developing angle improves to an elite 40-17-3 ATS. That bodes well for Carolina. Also, when rolling without rest and arriving off a SU and ATS division loss, the Panthers hold a respectable 44-20-4 ATS mark including a lucrative 39-12-4 ATS provided they are priced as a favorite or an underdog of +8 or less. With those two parameters live and head coach Dave Canales and his crew carrying a pointspread won/loss percentage of .300 or higher, this trend jets to a stunning 32-5-2 ATS.
Off last week's 20-17 loss at Detroit, Green Bay is locked into a negative 39-81-6 ATS technical situation that comes with a shocking 15-45-4 ATS tightener and this NFL angle demands our respect. To make matters worse, as a non-rested favorite holding a team won/loss percentage of .500 or better, the Packers own a poor 26-44 ATS mark provided their opponent takes the field off a blowout loss of 10 points or more. If Coach LaFleur and his men are competitively priced at -4.5 or less, this angle falls to a miserable 4-10 SU and 3-11 ATS. Finally, as a favorite facing a foe from the NFC South, the Pack hold a woeful 12-21 ATS tally including just 4-10 ATS if their opponent carries a team won/loss percentage of .460 or better.
Last week’s lopsided loss to the Bucs was a reality check, but the Panthers will make a statement at one of the league’s toughest venues. Take Carolina. Thanks, and best of luck, Tom.
