Amedeus Mastrangelo - UNAM Pumas vs Juarez

AMEDEUS' LIGA MX TOTAL OF THE MONTH!

Handicapper
Amedeus Mastrangelo
League
SOCCER
Competition
UNAM Pumas vs Juarez
Release Date
07/31/2026 07:47 AM
Event Date
07/31/2026 11:00 PM
Bet Type
Over / Under
Pick
UNAM Pumas vs Juarez Over 2.5 (-115) (Consensus Line)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
Juarez is coming into this match playing in poor form to start the new season and they have not been trending to the over in their recent matches either. They have lost their last 2 straight matches which were both 1-0 losses, but they ended last season with a heavy trend to the over, going over 2.5 goals in their last 4 as well as 10 of their last 12 matches to end the Clausura. Their defense was awful in those matches and has not improved much this season, allowing 1 goal in each of their matches so far. Their attack has also been awful as they have not scored a goal in their 2 matches this season, but they are going to be hungry to change that and will be pushing for their 1st points of the season. When playing at home, this trend to the over has been much stronger as they have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 league matches at home. They are going up against an UNAM Pumas side that has been trending to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in each of their last 2 as well as 4 of their last 5 matches and they were heavily trending to the over to end the season. They opened this season with a 3-0 loss at home to Pachuca and they are coming off of a 2-1 away win against Toluca in their last match, and they have been one of the better teams in the league recently as well. When playing away from home, they have gone over 2.5 goals in each of their last 2 as well as 4 of their last 5 matches and their attack has been on fire in these. Even when these two meet, they have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 2 straight as well as 3 of their last 5 meetings. UNAM Pumas is the better side here and they certainly have the quality in their attack to find the net on this Juarez defense that has not been good, but Juarez is going to be pushing for their 1st goal and points of the season, and this Pumas defense has not been that great either. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 2.5 goals. Mexico Liga MX: Juarez/UNAM Pumas over 2.5 goals, Rot. 209281

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