Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/24/2026

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 24, 2026

Venue:  Kroger Field, Lexington, KY

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Vanderbilt +10.5, Kentucky -10.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Vanderbilt +10.5, Kentucky -10.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Vanderbilt +10.5, Kentucky -10.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Vanderbilt Commodores:  3-4 (0-4) (16th place, SEC)

Kentucky Wildcats:  6-1 (4-1) (2nd place, SEC)

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Vanderbilt Commodores:  lost their last game at home against the Arkansas Razorbacks 31-21.

Kentucky Wildcats:  won their last game on the road against the Oklahoma Sooners 21-13.

Vanderbilt is entering this game with a 3-4 record overall and they have a 0-4 record in their conference games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Arkansas 31-21. Jared Curtis was the starting QB and he completed 19/31 passes for 274 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Sedrick Alexander led the team in rushing yards with 57 and 1 TD. Junior Sherrill led the receivers with 99 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Bryan Longwell led the defense in that game with 13 tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Kentucky is entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Oklahoma 21-13. Kenny Minchey was the starting QB and he completed 21/28 passes for 158 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jason Patterson led the team in rushing yards with 38. Nic Anderson led the receivers with 48 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Grant Godfrey and Jordan Castell each led the defense in that game with 8 tackles while Tavion Gadson, Mi'Quise Humphrey-Grace, and CJ Works each led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Jordan Castell and Ty Bryant each came away with 2 interceptions for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Kentucky listed as a 10.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Kentucky has looked great in their games this season with their 6-1 record overall and their 4-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They have looked good on their home field too with their 3-1 home record this season. Meanwhile, Vanderbilt has looked terrible in their games this season with their 3-4 record overall and their 0-4 conference record which has them right at the bottom of the SEC. They haven't been a good road team either with their 0-2 road record this year. Vanderbilt had a nice 3-0 start to the season, but they have looked terrible in conference play and they are headed right back towards the bottom of the SEC. They had a great season last year, but as this season goes on it seems more and more apparent that a lot of their success last season was due to Diego Pavia. Now that Pavia is gone, Vandy has reverted back to the program that they have been for the last few years. They are coming off a 31-21 home loss to Arkansas in their last one and that was their best chance to win a conference game this season with Arkansas being one of the worst in the SEC. Now they are on the road against Kentucky who has been rolling lately and Kentucky has put their hat in the ring for the CFP now. They have 1 bad loss to Alabama, but they are coming off a 21-13 road win over Oklahoma and have been rolling with a great offense. Vanderbilt is going to be the worst team in the SEC this season, so look for Kentucky to continue rolling here. The best way to place a bet here is on Kentucky to cover the spread in this game. 

Vanderbilt Kentucky Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 24, 2026 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Kentucky 31 Vanderbilt 10.

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Vanderbilt Commodores: 46-62 ATS off a home loss. 35-53 ATS off a home loss against a conference rival. 51-75 ATS in October games. 20-9 OVER against FBS division opponents. 8-2 OVER off a loss against a conference rival.

Kentucky Wildcats: 8-4 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 5-1 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 4-1 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 7-2 OVER in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 19-12 OVER off a road win against a conference rival.

Vanderbilt Commodores:  K. Smith (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Kentucky Wildcats:  L. Watkins (TE) Out - Undisclosed. A. Afari Jr. (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Baxter (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Mizell (RB) Out - Undisclosed.

“We're actively in pursuit of a better performance. We're trying to find the right combination of people. We're giving guys opportunities to play, and you know, we'll be better.” - Clark Lea after his team’s loss against Arkansas in their last game. 

"Play harder for guys you love and actually have respect for. So that's one thing that shows a lot with our team is they're playing for each other. And then toughness, like, toughness wins in football --college football and the SEC. You've gotta be mentally and physically tough. When we watch our tape, our guys fight. They fly around, they hit. They strain on the perimeter, they block up front, we run the ball. Those are, I think, two of the biggest DNA traits of our team is our connection and toughness." - Will Stein after his team’s win against Oklahoma in their last game. 

WR Sherrill, Junior

WR Coleman, Brycen

WR Brown, Tristen

TE Conner, Jayvontay

QB Curtis, Jared

RB Alexander, Sedrick

WR Miller, DJ

WR Anderson, Nic

WR Darby, Kenny

TE Rodriguez, Willie

QB Minchey, Kenny

RB Baxter, CJ

Passing: Jared Curtis (1,242)

Rushing: Sedrick Alexander (270)

Receiving: Junior Sherrill (628)

Touchdowns: Sedrick Alexander (6)

Passing: Kenny Minchey (1,552)

Rushing: CJ Baxter (484)

Receiving: Kenny Darby (436)

Touchdowns: CJ Baxter (8)

Coaches:

Vanderbilt Commodores: Clark Lea (6th season)

Kentucky Wildcats: Will Stein (1st season)