Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/31/2026

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 31, 2026

Venue:  Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID

Where to Watch:  CW

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas State +10.5, Boise State -10.5; Over/Under:  63.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas State +10.5, Boise State -10.5; Over/Under:  63.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas State +11, Boise State -11; Over/Under:  63.5 points

Texas State Bobcats:  4-3 (2-1) (3rd place, Pac-12)

Boise State Broncos:  6-1 (3-0) (1st place, Pac-12)

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Texas State Bobcats:  won their last game at home against the Utah State Aggies 20-17.

Boise State Broncos:  won their last game on the road against the Washington State Cougars 31-10.

Texas State is entering this game with a 4-3 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Utah State 20-17. Brad Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 27/37 passes for 167 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Torrance Burgess Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 51. Chris Dawn Jr. led the receivers with 48 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Treylin Payne led the defense in that game with 9 tackles while Treylin Payne and Donterry Russell each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Boise State is entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Washington State 31-10. Maddux Madsen was the starting QB and he completed 14/23 passes for 149 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Dylan Riley led the team in rushing yards with 128 and 2 TDs. Rasean Jones led the receivers with 69 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Jayden Virgin-Morgan and Boen Phelps each led the defense in that game with 6 tackles while Lopez Sanusi led the defense in sacks with 2. Boen Phelps came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Boise State listed as a 10.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Boise State has looked great in their games this season with their 6-1 record overall and their 3-0 conference record which has them right at the top of the Pac-12. They have looked great on their home field too with their 3-0 home record this season. Meanwhile, Texas State has looked good in their games this season with their 4-3 record overall and their 2-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the Pac-12. They have been a bad road team though with their 0-2 road record this year. Texas State has a really good offense that can put up a ton of points in their games, but their defense hasn't looked good and they do give up a ton of points. They are coming off a 20-17 win over Utah State in their last one, but they had trouble beating a terrible Utah State team at home and now they are going on the road to one of the toughest places to play in the conference. Boise State only has 1 loss this season and that came in the 1st week with a road loss to Oregon. That loss doesn't look as good now with how bad Oregon has looked this year, but they still lost a tight game on the road against a stronger opponent and they have been rolling over every other team that they have faced. They are coming off a 31-10 win over Wazzu in their last one and they are going to be really motivated to continue rolling since they have the inside track to the group of 6 CFP spot. Look for Boise State to continue rolling here with their better defense being a big factor. The best way to place a bet here is on Boise State to cover the spread in this game. 

Texas State Boise State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 31, 2026 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Boise State 45 Texas State 24.

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Texas State Bobcats: 11-19 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70. 4-8 ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 15-26 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 250 or more passing yards/game. 6-3 UNDER off a win against a conference rival. 

Boise State Broncos: 11-4 ATS as a home favorite. 10-3 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 9-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 12-5 UNDER off a win against a conference rival. 11-4 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins.

Texas State Bobcats:  K. Evans (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Jackson (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Smith (TE) Questionable - Foot. C. Snodgrass (TE) Out - Undisclosed.

Boise State Broncos:  R. Jones (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Bates (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed.

“Boise has kind of been the standard of this level of football for a really long time. They have a really quality coaching staff, really good team, really good culture, the Blue Turf, all the things.” - G.J. Kinne on his team’s upcoming game against Boise State this week. 

“Today wasn't perfect, it never is, right? But I'm proud of our guys battling, staying in the fight. We talked all week that we've gotta have our fastball, and we've got to attack success.” - Spencer Danielson after his team’s win against WSU in their last game. 

WR Sparks, Beau

WR Dawn Jr., Chris

WR Cusano, Tucker

TE Stamey, Ty

QB Jackson, Brad

RB Burgess Jr., Torrance

WR Wright, Akeem

WR Jones, Rasean

WR Bates, Cam

TE Wagner, Matt

QB Madsen, Maddux

RB Riley, Dylan

Passing: Brad Jackson (1,606)

Rushing: Torrance Burgess Jr. (889)

Receiving: Chris Dawn Jr. (396)

Touchdowns: Davian Jackson (8)

Passing: Maddux Madsen (1,445)

Rushing: Dylan Riley (963)

Receiving: Rasean Jones (437)

Touchdowns: Dylan Riley (9)

Coaches:

Texas State Bobcats: G.J. Kinne (4th season)

Boise State Broncos: Spencer Danielson (4th season)