Texas Rangers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/11/2026

Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Friday, September 11, 2026

Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ

Where to Watch:  MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers +110, Diamondbacks -130; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers +110, Diamondbacks -130; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers +110, Diamondbacks -130; Over/Under:  9 runs

Texas Rangers:  72-74 (2nd place, AL West)

Arizona Diamondbacks:  78-69 (3rd place, NL West)

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Texas Rangers:  6-4 last 10

Arizona Diamondbacks:  5-5 last 10

The Rangers split their 4-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-2. They enter this game with a 72-74 record overall and have a road record of 32-42. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Seattle Mariners still to be played on Thursday. The Rangers won the series opener on Tuesday and lost the 2nd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .719 OPS. Jacob deGrom is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Kumar Rocker is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 5-11 with a 4.61 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 5 ER, 2 HR, and 0 BB with 3 SO on 9 hits through 5 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Kansas City Royals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 78-69 record overall and have a home record of 41-31. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .707 OPS. Zac Gallen was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Merrill Kelly is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 9-13 with a 5.06 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 walks with 4 strikeouts on 7 hits through 6 innings pitched against the Houston Astros.

The current betting odds have the Rangers listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rangers haven't looked great in their games this season with their 72-74 record overall, but that record has them right near the top of the AL West. They haven't been a great road team either with their 32-42 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks have looked good in their games this season with their 78-69 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL West. They have looked good in their own ballpark too with their 41-31 home record this season. As good as the Diamondbacks have looked, they are only 5-5 in their last 10 games and right on the outside of that last Wild Card spot. The Rangers are also fighting for a playoff spot, just a few games behind the Astros for the AL West, and the Rangers are starting to get hot again, now 6-4 in their last 10 games. Rocker is going to be on the mound for the rangers in this one and he hasn't looked good this season. he is 5-11 with a 4.61 ERA, but lately he has looked better and the team has been having more success with him too. He did give up 5 earned runs in his last start, but the team has still won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting and he will be looking to have a better start here. The Diamondbacks are going with Kelly in this one and he hasn't looked good this season either. He is 9-13 with a 5.06 ERA and he has been giving up a ton of runs all year. He is coming off another bad start giving up 3 earned runs which has been a common theme for him and the team has been having lots of trouble with him lately, losing 4 of their last 5 games with him starting. The Diamondbacks haven't had the best pitching staff this season either while the Rangers bullpen has been pretty good, and the Rangers also have the stronger offense this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rangers to win this game. 

Rangers Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, September 11, 2026 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Rangers 6 Diamondbacks 4.

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Texas Rangers: 23-26 (-5.3 units) on the moneyline against NL West opponents. 231-239 (-26.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 98-137 (-37.3 units) on the moneyline in road games. 30-18 UNDER against NL West opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks: 246-225 (+10.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 83-74 (+12.9 units) on the moneyline after 3 or more consecutive road games. 180-165 (+15.5 units) on the moneyline vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 errors/game or less. 26-19 UNDER against AL West opponents.

Texas Rangers:  C. Winn (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. P. Gray (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. N. Eovaldi (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. J. Leiter (SP) Sixty Day IL - Ankle. J. Jung (3B) Ten Day IL - Calf. J. Corniell (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. K. Higashioka (C) Ten Day IL - Flexor Tendon. J. Beeks (RP) Sixty Day IL - Back. M. Helman (CF) Sixty Day IL - Hand. C. Baumler (RP) Sixty Day IL - Ribs.

Arizona Diamondbacks:  C. Carroll (RF) Day To Day - Back. R. Thompson (RP) Sixty Day IL - Back. R. Nelson (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Mena (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. A. Puk (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Saalfrank (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

“I think you know Cody had a good day. Typically, it takes good starting pitching with length. Went to our bullpen early. Bullpen did an excellent job. The runners in scoring position, we had trouble with today. We didn't have any hits with any guys on base, and that was ultimately the reason why we lost the game.” - Skip Schumaker after his team’s loss against the Mariners in their game on Wednesday. 

“The difference was their slug at the right time.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s loss against the Royals in their game on Wednesday. 

Joc Pederson (L) DH

Corey Seager (L) SS

Ezequiel Duran (R) 3B

Brandon Nimmo (L) RF

Wyatt Langford (R) LF

Evan Carter (L) CF

Jake Burger (R) 1B

Nicky Lopez (L) 2B

Danny Jansen (R) C

Ildemaro Vargas (S) 2B

Ketel Marte (S) DH

Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS

Nolan Arenado (R) 3B

Tim Tawa (R) 1B

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF

James McCann (R) C

Jordan Lawlar (R) CF

Lars Nootbaar (L) RF

Batting Average:  Logan O'Hoppe (.313)

Hits:  Brandon Nimmo (141)

Home Runs:  Jake Burger (26)

RBI:  Jake Burger (83)

Stolen Bases:  Evan Carter (15)

Wins:  Nathan Eovaldi (10)

Saves:  Jacob Latz (28)

ERA:  Marco Gonzales (1.35)

Batting Average:  Gabriel Moreno (.299)

Hits:  Geraldo Perdomo (127)

Home Runs:  Nolan Arenado (23)

RBI:  Ketel Marte (70)

Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (21)

Wins:  Eduardo Rodriguez (15)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (24)

ERA:  Justin Martinez (0.00)

Managers:

Texas Rangers: Skip Schumaker (1st season)

Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (10th season)