Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Navy Midshipmen Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/31/2026

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Oct 26, 2026
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 31, 2026
Venue:  Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Where to Watch:  ABC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Notre Dame -30.5, Navy +30.5; Over/Under:  54.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Notre Dame -30.5, Navy +30.5; Over/Under:  54.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Notre Dame -30, Navy +30; Over/Under:  54.5 points

Season Record

Notre Dame Fighting Irish:  6-1 (0-0) (FBS Independent)
Navy Midshipmen:  2-5 (1-4) (13th place, American)

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Recent Form
Notre Dame Fighting Irish:  lost their last game on the road against the BYU Cougars 28-24.
Navy Midshipmen:  lost their last game at home against the North Texas Mean Green 49-39.


Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Navy Midshipmen Preview and Analysis


Notre Dame is entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be for this game. They lost their last game against BYU 28-24. CJ Carr was the starting QB and he completed 27/49 passes for 261 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Nolan James Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 77 and 1 TD. Jaden Greathouse led the receivers with 125 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Luke Talich and Drayk Bowen each led the defense in that game with 8 tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Jayden Sanders came away with the only interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
Navy is entering this game with a 2-5 record overall and they have a 1-4 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 0-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be for this game. They lost their last game against North Texas 49-39. Jackson Gutierrez was the starting QB and he completed 7/10 passes for 133 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Jackson Gutierrez led the team in rushing yards with 228 and 3 TDs. Merrick Barlow led the receivers with 64 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Coleman Cauley and Aiden Lyczek each led the defense in that game with 9 tackles while Nolan McCamy led the defense in sacks with 1. Irabonoise Oniha came away with the only interception for them in that one.


Notre Dame vs Navy Prediction

The current betting odds have Notre Dame listed as a 30.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Notre Dame has looked great in their games this season with their 6-1 record overall and they are ranked like one of the best teams in the nation. They looked good in their only neutral site game this season, going 1-0, and will be playing their 2nd one here. Meanwhile, Navy hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 2-5 record overall and their 1-4 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the American Conference. They haven't played in any neutral site games this year and will be playing their first one here. Navy is coming off a 49-39 loss to North Texas in their last one and they have looked terrible all season. They are having a bad year as one of the worst teams in the conference and their defense has looked terrible all season, giving up a ton of points. Notre Dame has been ranked like one of the best teams in the nation all season and they have been really good in these games against weaker opponents. They lost their last game to BYU on the road, but BYU is also one of the best teams in the Big 12. Notre Dame will be looking to bounce back from that tough road loss and they have a big advantage here since they are also coming out of their bye week. Navy doesn't have an offense that can come back in big chunks against a defense like this and they will likely be playing the entire game from behind. Look for Notre Dame to roll a much weaker opponent here as Notre Dame looks to bounce back coming out of their bye week. The best way to place a bet here is on Notre Dame to cover the spread in this game. 

Notre Dame Navy Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 31, 2026 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Notre Dame 49 Navy 10.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Notre Dame Fighting Irish Navy Midshipmen prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends


Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 18-28 ATS as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points. 22-33 ATS off a road loss. 6-13 ATS off an upset loss as a double digit favorite. 25-17 OVER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%). 29-21 OVER off an upset loss as a favorite.

Navy Midshipmen: 20-8 ATS as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points. 64-32 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game. 22-11 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. 23-14 OVER versus good rushing defenses - allowing 3.25 rushing yards/carry or less. 19-13 OVER as a neutral field underdog.

Key Injuries


Notre Dame Fighting Irish:  B. Hebert (QB) Out - Undisclosed. Q. Porter (WR) Out - Knee.

Navy Midshipmen:  L. Walker (RB) Out - Undisclosed. J. Chalmers (RB) Out - Undisclosed. M. Barlow (TE) Out - Undisclosed. J. Norris (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Notable Quotes


“We had them on the ropes, and we couldn’t find a way to finish. They found a way to get a stop when they needed it the most.” - Marcus Freeman after his team’s loss against BYU in their last game. 


“I thought we did some really good things offensively, but the difference really in the game [was] the 14 points scored [on] non-offensive touchdowns. You’re not going to beat a good football team when they score 14 points on you like that and when you tackle like we did, when you give up the big plays in the pass game. You’ve got to give them credit. They’re a really good football team, a really good offense.” - Brian Newberry after his team’s loss against UNT in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Notre Dame Fighting Irish
WR Faison, Jordan
WR Gilbert, Micah
WR Greathouse, Jaden
TE Flanagan, Cooper
QB Carr, CJ 
RB Williams, Aneyas

Navy Midshipmen
WR Hutchison, Luke
TE Collins, Jordan
QB Woodson, Braxton
SB Bryant, Isaiah
SB Robinson, Charles
RB Listorti, Vic

Statistical Leaders


Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Passing: CJ Carr (1,639)
Rushing: Jonaz Walton (426)
Receiving: Jordan Faison (451)
Touchdowns: Nolan James Jr. (11)

Navy Midshipmen
Passing: Jackson Gutierrez (692)
Rushing: Jackson Gutierrez (869)
Receiving: Jordan Collins (212)
Touchdowns: Jackson Gutierrez (12)

Coaches:
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Marcus Freeman (6th season)
Navy Midshipmen: Brian Newberry (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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