New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/18/2026

Game Time: 6:35 pm ET, Tuesday, August 18, 2026

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD 

Where to Watch:  MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -110, Orioles -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -110, Orioles -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -110, Orioles -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

New York Yankees:  69-55 (2nd place, AL East)

Baltimore Orioles:  61-63 (4th place, AL East)

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New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 69-55 record overall and have a road record of 38-28. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .716 OPS. Ryan Weathers was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Carlos Rodón is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 4-2 with a 3.30 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 4 BB with 6 SO on 1 hit through 5 IP against the Boston Red Sox.

The Orioles lost their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-1. They enter this game with a 61-63 record overall and have a home record of 32-30. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday with the series finale of their series against the Tampa Bay Rays still to be played on Monday. The Orioles won the series opener on Friday, the 2nd game on Saturday, and the 3rd game on Sunday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .718 OPS. Brandon Young is their starting pitcher on Monday while Shane Baz is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 4-12 with a 4.00 ERA this season. His team lost their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 walk with 2 strikeouts on 9 hits through 3 innings pitched against the Minnesota Twins.

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a pick ‘em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 69-55 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They have been a good road team too with their 38-28 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Orioles haven't looked great in their games this season with their 61-63 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AL East. They have looked better in their own ballpark though with their 32-30 home record this season. The Orioles are also tied for the last Wild Card spot in the AL due to the league being so bad, but they still haven't looked great lately. They have been on a hot streak against the Rays over the weekend, but they are still 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Yankees are also 5-5 in their last 10 games and haven't been at their best lately, but they do have the stronger pitching staff to lean on here. The Orioles are going with Baz in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 4-12 with a 4.00 ERA and he has been giving up quite a few runs lately. He is coming off another bad start giving up 5 earned runs which has been a common theme for him this year and the team has had a lot of trouble with him lately too, losing 5 games in a row now with him starting. The Yankees are going with Rodon in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 4-2 with a 3.30 ERA and he hasn’t been giving up many runs. He is coming off a great start in which he gave up no runs and the team has been having a ton of success with him lately, winning 5 of their last 6 games with him starting. The Yankees have a really good bullpen too, so they are going to be able to take advantage of this pitching matchup since they also have a day off before this series while the Orioles have their weekend series against the Rays stretching into Monday. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game. 

Yankees Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 18, 2026 (6:35 pm ET start time) is Yankees 5 Orioles 4.

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New York Yankees: 135-101 (+8.8 units) on the moneyline in road games. 156-98 (+10.1 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL team with a slugging percentage of .410 or worse on the season. 64-43 (+7 units) on the moneyline vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start. 34-16 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125.

Baltimore Orioles: 227-223 (-19.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 115-110 (-27.9 units) on the moneyline in home games. 106-93 (-10 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 60-39 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game.

New York Yankees:  K. Castro (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. C. Bellinger (LF) Ten Day IL - Leg. A. Judge (RF) Sixty Day IL - Rib. C. Rodon (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. G. Stanton (DH) Ten Day IL - Leg. C. Schmidt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  R. Mountcastle (1B) Sixty Day IL - Foot. S. Basallo (C) Ten Day IL - Shoulder. B. Alexander (3B) Ten Day IL - Hand. K. Akin (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Helsley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. Z. Eflin (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Westburg (3B) Sixty Day IL - UCL. F. Bautista (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. C. Selby (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

“Obviously, no one’s feeling worse at that point than Benny. And to come up there and essentially win the game for us in the 10th was massive. Credit to him, that’s this game. That’s being a big leaguer.” - Aaron Boone on Ben Rice after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Sunday. 

“Obviously, the Rays coming in, best record in baseball, coming off a nine-game heater on the road, West Coast road trip, which is really impressive to do. For us, we really believe we can play with anyone. You have to believe that, and I truly believe that, and the guys in that room believe it, most importantly.” - Craig Albernaz after his team’s win against the Rays in their game on Sunday. 

Ben Rice (L) 1B

Luis García Jr. (L) DH

Heliot Ramos (R) LF

Trent Grisham (L) CF

Spencer Jones (L) RF

George Lombard Jr. (R) SS

Ryan McMahon (L) 3B

Austin Wells (L) C

José Caballero (R) 2B

Jackson Holliday (L) 2B

Pete Alonso (R) DH

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R) 3B

Dylan Beavers (L) LF

Leody Taveras (S) RF

Colton Cowser (L) CF

Coby Mayo (R) 1B

Yohel Pozo (R) C

Batting Average:  George Lombard (.270)

Hits:  Ben Rice (111)

Home Runs:  Ben Rice (33)

RBI:  Ben Rice (78)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (32)

Wins:  Cam Schlittler (10)

Saves:  David Bednar (27)

ERA:  Yerry De los Santos (0.75)

Batting Average:  Blaze Alexander (.312)

Hits:  Pete Alonso (123)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (27)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (80)

Stolen Bases:  Leody Taveras (10)

Wins:  Brandon Young (9)

Saves:  Ryan Helsley (8)

ERA:  Jose Espada (0.00)

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (9th season)

Baltimore Orioles: Craig Albernaz (1st season)