Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/01/2026

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, August 1, 2026

Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA

Where to Watch:  MLB TV, FS1

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +147, Mariners -178; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +140, Mariners -170; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +140, Mariners -165; Over/Under:  8 runs

Minnesota Twins:  55-55 (3rd place, AL Central)

Seattle Mariners:  53-57 (3rd place, AL West)

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Minnesota Twins:  6-4 last 10

Seattle Mariners:  3-7 last 10

The Twins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Kansas City Royals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-55 record overall and have a road record of 25-28. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .724 OPS. Zebby Matthews is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Connor Prielipp is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-5 with a 4.73 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 5 SO on 2 hits through 5.2 IP against the Athletics.

The Mariners are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-57 record overall and have a home record of 30-23. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .688 OPS. Bryce Miller is their starting pitcher on Friday while Logan Gilbert is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 8-6 with a 3.44 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 walks with 4 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5.2 innings pitched against the Texas Rangers.

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners haven't looked great in their games this season with their 53-57 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL West. They have looked a lot better in their own ballpark though with their 30-23 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Twins haven't looked great in their games this season with their 55-55 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL Central. They haven't been a good road team either with their 25-28 road record this year. The Twins have been hot lately, now 6-4 in their last 10 games, but their offense hasn't looked nearly as good as it was a few weeks ago. The Mariners are 3-7 in their last 10 games and they have been in a big slump lately, but they have looked a lot better at home this season and they are going to have the better pitching matchup here too. The Mariners are going with Gilbert in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 8-6 with a 3.44 ERA and he has looked a lot better in his home starts. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this season and the team has still been having success with him lately, winning 2 games in a row now with him starting. The Twins are going with Prielipp in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 3-5 with a 4.73 ERA and has been giving up quite a few runs in his rookie year. He is coming off a good start in which he gave up 1 earned run and the team has won 3 games in a row now with him starting too, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year and he has given up a lot more runs in his road starts too. The Mariners are going to be desperate to bounce back at home where they have looked a lot better this season, so look for them to take advantage of this pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game. 

Twins Mariners Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, August 1, 2026 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Mariners 6 Twins 4.

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Minnesota Twins: 50-32 (+13.2 units) on the moneyline against AL West opponents. 124-99 (+16.9 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL team with a slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season. 104-78 (+17.9 units) on the moneyline vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season. 33-18 OVER in road games. 10-3 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better.

Seattle Mariners: 49-46 (-6.7 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. 234-213 (-18.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 171-136 (-16.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 11-3 OVER as a home favorite of -150 to -200. 35-23 OVER vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse.

Minnesota Twins:  B. Buxton (CF) Ten Day IL - Hip. C. Sands (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. M. Paredes (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. A. Banda (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. M. Abel (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Acton (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. D. Festa (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. P. Lopez (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Seattle Mariners:  W. Wilson (3B) Sixty Day IL - Thumb. M. Brash (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Lat. C. Criswell (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Donovan (3B) Ten Day IL - Groin. C. Vargas (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. L. Evans (SP) Sixty Day IL - Arm.

“I went from being extremely pissed, just very candidly, to pure elation. You go through a gamut of emotions throughout the game.” - Derek Shelton after his team’s win against the Royals in their game on Thursday. 

“The most important thing is to keep that belief in one another and the team, the group, the possibility. You've got to hold on to it. Once you lose that, then you're done.” - Bryan Woo after their loss against the LA Dodgers in their game on Thursday. 

Austin Martin (R) LF

Ryan Jeffers (R) C

Royce Lewis (R) 2B

Josh Bell (S) DH

Kody Clemens (L) RF

Luke Keaschall (R) CF

Brooks Lee (S) 3B

Alex Jackson (R) 1B

Ryan Kreidler (R) SS

Cole Young (L) 2B

Randy Arozarena (R) LF

Dominic Canzone (L) DH

Julio Rodríguez (R) CF

Josh Naylor (L) 1B

Cal Raleigh (S) C

Luke Raley (L) RF

Weston Wilson (R) 3B

Colt Emerson (L) SS

Batting Average:  Gabriel Gonzalez (.500)

Hits:  Josh Bell (94)

Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (25)

RBI:  Josh Bell (63)

Stolen Bases:  Luke Keaschall (13)

Wins:  Taj Bradley (9)

Saves:  Yoendrys Gómez (12)

ERA:  Jack Anderson (0.00)

Batting Average:  Randy Arozarena (.283)

Hits:  Josh Naylor (106)

Home Runs:  Dominic Canzone (18)

RBI:  Dominic Canzone (49)

Stolen Bases:  Josh Naylor (21)

Wins:  George Kirby (8)

Saves:  Andrés Muñoz (19)

ERA:  Matt Brash (0.54)

Managers:

Minnesota Twins: Derek Shelton (1st season)

Seattle Mariners: Dan Wilson (3rd season)