by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Oct 22, 2026
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 25, 2026
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Dolphins +4.5, Jets -4.5; Over/Under: 39.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Dolphins +4.5, Jets -4.5; Over/Under: 39.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Dolphins +4.5, Jets -4.5; Over/Under: 39.5 points
Season Record
Miami Dolphins: 0-5 (4th place, AFC East)
New York Jets: 2-4 (3rd place, AFC East)
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Miami Dolphins: lost their last game at home against the Cincinnati Bengals 31-24.
New York Jets: lost their last game on the road against the New England Patriots 26-19.
Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Preview and Analysis
The Dolphins are entering this game with a 0-5 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 0-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Cincinnati Bengals 31-24. Malik Willis was the starting QB and he completed 15/27 passes for 137 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Ollie Gordon II led the team in rushing yards with 88 and 1 TD. Malik Washington led the receivers with 43 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Jacob Rodriguez led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Jets are entering this game with a 2-4 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the New England Patriots 26-19. Geno Smith was the starting QB and he completed 20/30 passes for 252 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Braelon Allen led the team in rushing yards with 78. Omar Cooper Jr. led the receivers with 103 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Jamien Sherwood led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Dolphins vs Jets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Jets listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Jets haven't looked great in their games this season with their 2-4 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AFC East. They have looked better on their home field though with their 1-1 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have looked terrible in their games this season with their 0-5 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the AFC East with one of the worst records in the entire NFL. They have been a terrible road team too with their 0-3 road record this year. The Dolphins are one of the few winless teams left in the NFL this season and they have looked like a team that has the potential to go 0-17. this year. They are coming out of their bye week and just played their best game of the season before that, losing at home to the Bengals 31-24, but they are still one of the worst teams in the NFL as they don't have a ton of talent and they have looked a lot worse in those 3 road games too. The Jets haven't looked great themselves this season and they are coming off a 26-19 road loss to the Patriots in their last one, but they have been a scrappy team against some good opponents this year. Their best game of the season was their win over the Titans in week 1 and now they get to face a team that might actually be worse. This is a great opportunity for the Jets to pick up a feel good win at home and start clawing their way back to .500. The best way to place a bet here is on the Jets to cover the spread in this game.
Dolphins Jets Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 25, 2026 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Jets 20 Dolphins 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Miami Dolphins: 6-2 ATS off a home loss. 5-0 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses. 4-1 ATS on the road after allowing 30 points or more last game. 9-3 OVER versus division opponents. 12-6 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record.
New York Jets: 3-8 ATS versus division opponents. 2-8 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. 2-9 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 8-4 OVER in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 10-2 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record.
Key Injuries
Miami Dolphins: M. Willis (QB) Injured - Thumb. R. Beal Jr. (DL) Injured - Hamstring. J. Brooks (LB) Injured - Foot. J. Brents (CB) Injured - Heel. R. Taylor (CB) Injured - Quad. T. Addington (LS) Injured - Shoulder. J. Wright (RB) Injured - Foot. J. Woodard (LB) Injured - Ankle. J. Savaiinaea (OG) Injured - Ankle. W. Kacmarek (TE) Injured - Hamstring. C. Douglas (WR) Injured - Ankle. K. Louis (S) Injured - Knee.
New York Jets: K. Nwangwu (RB) Injured - Knee. D. Parham (OG) Injured - Knee. W. McDonald IV (DL) Injured - Toe. J. Ossai (DL) Injured - Ankle. B. Hall (RB) Injured - Quad. A. Mitchell (WR) Injured - Finger. T. Sweat (DL) Injured - Elbow. K. Mauigoa (LB) Injured - Quad.
Notable Quotes
“We've just got to go back to the drawing board, watch these last few games, compare it to practice, understand what we’re good at, what we’re not good at, understand what guys are comfortable with and what they’re not comfortable with, and then just try to go and execute the next opportunity we can get.” - Malik Willis after their loss against the Bengals in their last game.
“Finishing on offense and detail on defense is something we’ve got to get better at because I think we gifted two touchdowns that shouldn’t have happened.” - Aaron Glenn after his team’s loss against the Patriots in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Miami Dolphins
WR Bell, Chris
WR Douglas, Caleb
WR Washington, Malik
TE Dulcich, Greg
QB Willis, Malik
RB Gordon II, Ollie
FB Herman, DJ
New York Jets
WR Patrick, Tim
WR Wilson, Garrett
WR Cooper Jr., Omar
TE Taylor, Mason
QB Smith, Geno
RB Allen, Braelon
FB Beck, Andrew
Statistical Leaders
Miami Dolphins
Passing: Malik Willis (849)
Rushing: Ollie Gordon II (236)
Receiving: Malik Washington (262)
Touchdowns: Ollie Gordon II (3)
New York Jets
Passing: Geno Smith (1,336)
Rushing: Braelon Allen (314)
Receiving: Garrett Wilson (418)
Touchdowns: Garrett Wilson (3)
Coaches:
Miami Dolphins: Jeff Hafley (1st season)
New York Jets: Aaron Glenn (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
