by Rod Pearson
Friday, Sep 11, 2026
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Friday, September 11, 2026
Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
Where to Watch: MLB TV
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -209, Marlins +171; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -200, Marlins +170; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -200, Marlins +170; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 89-57 (1st place, NL West)
Miami Marlins: 72-75 (3rd place, NL East)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 8-2 last 10
Miami Marlins: 3-7 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with an 89-57 record overall and have a road record of 42-29. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .759 OPS. Yoshinobu Yamamoto was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Blake Snell is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-1 with a 1.97 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 7 SO on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Washington Nationals.
The Marlins are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the New York Mets 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 72-75 record overall and have a home record of 43-32. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .728 OPS. Janson Junk was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Ryan Gusto is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 1-4 with a 4.23 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 walks with 5 strikeouts on 10 hits through 4.2 innings pitched against the Chicago Cubs.
Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 89-57 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL West. They have been a great road team too with their 42-29 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Marlins haven't looked great in their games this season with their 72-75 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL East. They have looked great in their own ballpark though with their 43-32 home record this season. The Marlins have been trying to keep themselves in the Wild Card race for weeks, but now they are 3-7 in their last 10 games and have been slipping away lately. The Dodgers, on the other hand, have been one of the best teams in MLB all year with one of the best offenses too and now they are starting to roll again, going 8-2 in their last 10 games. The Dodgers are going with Snell in this one and he has looked good this season. he is 3-1 with a 1.97 ERA and he has looked great in his few starts since coming back from injury. He is coming off another great start giving up no runs which has been a common theme for him and the team has been having a ton of success with him too, winning 4 of their last 5 games with him starting. The Marlins are going with Gusto in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 1-4 with a 4.23 ERA and hasn't looked good lately. The team has lost 2 games in a row now with him starting and he just gave up 5 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme. These teams are going in different directions at the moment, so look for the Dodgers to take advantage of this pitching matchup as they stay hot. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game and on the runline.
Dodgers Marlins Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Friday, September 11, 2026 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 7 Marlins 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 304-199 (-20.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 141-108 (-6.5 units) on the moneyline in road games. 207-136 (-15.4 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 10-2 UNDER after a win by 8 runs or more.
Miami Marlins: 41-42 (+9.2 units) on the moneyline against NL West opponents. 213-258 (+10.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 110-138 (+21.9 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 20-8 UNDER after 3 consecutive games versus a division rival.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: S. Ohtani (DH) Fifteen Day IL - Knee. D. Rushing (C) Ten Day IL - Elbow. E. Lauer (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. R. Sasaki (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Finger. A. Pages (CF) Ten Day IL - Hand. E. Diaz (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Neck. W. Klein (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. K. Bubic (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. B. Graterol (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Casparius (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Stone (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.
Miami Marlins: X. Edwards (2B) Ten Day IL - Thumb. W. Kempner (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Neck. A. Bender (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shin. A. Nardi (RP) Sixty Day IL - Ribs. R. Snelling (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Mazur (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Henriquez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
"It was good to see us break out the way we did. Obviously, Yoshi was fantastic, efficient, going seven innings. Just across the board offensively, fantastic." - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the Reds in their game on Wednesday.
“Disappointing how this homestand has gone to this point. You could say you saw some dejection in there, and certainly it's 8-0 early -- like that was not the hand that we wanted, but it was the one that we were dealt. With this group, you saw how they finished last night, again tonight. Certainly no one can question this group's willingness to hang in there and continue just to go until it's done, because they just continually show that.” - Clayton McCullough after his team’s loss against the Mets in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
Tommy Edman (S) CF
Will Smith (R) DH
Mookie Betts (R) SS
Max Muncy (L) 3B
Teoscar Hernández (R) LF
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Hunter Feduccia (L) C
Alex Freeland (S) 2B
Enrique Hernández (R) 1B
Miami Marlins
Kyle Stowers (L) DH
Heriberto Hernández (R) LF
Griffin Conine (L) 1B
Otto Lopez (R) SS
Jakob Marsee (L) CF
Javier Sanoja (R) 2B
Owen Caissie (L) RF
Graham Pauley (L) 3B
Joe Mack (L) C
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Freddie Freeman (.297)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (156)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (30)
RBI: Andy Pages (80)
Stolen Bases: Andy Pages (12)
Wins: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (13)
Saves: Tanner Scott (22)
ERA: Shohei Ohtani (1.79)
Miami Marlins
Batting Average: Jared Serna (.375)
Hits: Otto Lopez (173)
Home Runs: Heriberto Hernandez (24)
RBI: Otto Lopez (66)
Stolen Bases: Esteury Ruiz (30)
Wins: Sandy Alcantara (13)
Saves: Pete Fairbanks (18)
ERA: Anthony Bender (2.62)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (11th season)
Miami Marlins: Clayton McCullough (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
