Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/11/2026

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 11, 2026

Venue:  Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texans -7.5, Titans +7.5; Over/Under:  37.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texans -7.5, Titans +7.5; Over/Under:  38 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texans -7.5, Titans +7.5; Over/Under:  38 points

Houston Texans:  0-4 (4th place, AFC South)

Tennessee Titans:  0-4 (3rd place, AFC South)

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Houston Texans:  lost their last game at home against the Dallas Cowboys 34-30.

Tennessee Titans:  lost their last game on the road against the Baltimore Ravens 24-18.

The Texans are entering this game with a 0-4 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-3 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Dallas Cowboys 34-30. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 21/31 passes for 347 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. David Montgomery led the team in rushing yards with 24. Nico Collins led the receivers with 118 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 2 TDs. Jake Hansen led the defense in that game with 12 solo tackles while Jake Hansen led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Titans are entering this game with a 0-4 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 24-18. Cameron Ward was the starting QB and he completed 20/31 passes for 222 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Tony Pollard led the team in rushing yards with 48 and 1 TD. Carnell Tate led the receivers with 145 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Cody Barton and Anthony Hill Jr. each led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles while Jermaine Johnson led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Texans listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Texans have looked terrible in their games this season with their 0-4 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the AFC South. They haven't been a great road team either with their 0-1 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Titans have looked terrible in their games this season with their 0-4 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the AFC South. They have looked terrible on their home field too with their 0-2 home record this season. The Titans were one of the worst teams in the NFL last season and they look like they are going to be one of the worst teams again. Their offense has had a lot of trouble moving the ball this year and Cam Ward hasn't really been taking any steps forward in this offense. The Texans haven't looked any better this season and they have been in a spiral lately, still looking for their 1st win of the year. They did have one of the best defenses in the NFL last season though and they still have tons of talent on defense. Their offense wasn't great last season, but it has looked a lot better in their 4 games this year as offense hasn't been their issue. They are coming off a 34-30 loss to the Cowboys in their last one, but that was against one of the best offenses in the NFL. Now they get to face one of the worst offenses in the NFL, so look for that Texans defense to bounce back here in a big way and use this game to get right. The best way to place a bet here is on the Texans to cover the spread in this game. 

Texans Titans Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 11, 2026 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Texans 20 Titans 10.

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Houston Texans: 8-3 ATS in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 26-19 ATS on the road after allowing 30 points or more last game. 11-6 ATS on the road vs. poor passing teams averaging 175 or less passing yards/game. 24-16 UNDER in all games. 19-12 UNDER against conference opponents. 

Tennessee Titans: 11-27 ATS in all games. 7-14 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 3-8 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 5-1 UNDER when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%). 6-2 UNDER vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game.

Houston Texans:  E. Ingram (OG) Injured - Illness. B. Fisher (OT) Injured - Illness. A. Ersery (OT) Injured - Illness. J. Clowney (DL) Injured - Knee. B. Smith (OT) Injured - Foot. M. Stewart (S) Injured - Knee. A. Al-Shaair (LB) Injured - Groin. T. Dell (WR) Injured - Knee. L. Hall (DL) Injured - Knee. W. Anderson Jr. (DL) Injured - Ankle. J. Hill (LB) Injured - Knee. N. Thomas (OT) Injured - Illness. K. McDonald (DL) Injured - Ankle. W. Woodaz (LB) Injured - Thumb.

Tennessee Titans:  G. Helm (TE) Injured - Knee. C. Tate (WR) Injured - Back. M. Harris (CB) Injured - Knee. A. Hooker (S) Injured - Concussion. D. Martin-Robinson (TE) Injured - Hamstring. T. Pollard (RB) Injured - Foot. J. Simmons (DL) Injured - Back. J. Williams (CB) Injured - Pec. K. Winston Jr. (S) Injured - Shoulder. J. Franklin-Myers (DL) Injured - Back.

“Our guys moved the ball really well. We just did not play well enough defensively and it’s really a bad feeling.” - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s loss against the Cowboys in their last game. 

“Offense I thought came out and played with a lot of juice. Obviously, we had the two turnovers that resulted into 10 points, and then the turnover on downs inside the 5. Was a goofy game in that it didn’t feel like 24-7 at halftime.” - Robert Saleh after his team’s loss against the Ravens in their last game. 

WR Collins, Nico

WR Boutte, Kayshon

WR Hutchinson, Xavier

TE Schultz, Dalton

QB Stroud, C.J.

RB Montgomery, David

WR Ayomanor, Elic

WR Tate, Carnell

WR Robinson, Wan'Dale

TE Helm, Gunnar

QB Ward, Cam

RB Pollard, Tony

Passing: C.J. Stroud (1,141)

Rushing: David Montgomery (127)

Receiving: Dalton Schultz (214)

Touchdowns: David Montgomery (3)

Passing: Cam Ward (726)

Rushing: Tony Pollard (221)

Receiving: Carnell Tate (268)

Touchdowns: Cam Ward (2)

Coaches:

Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (4th season)

Tennessee Titans: Robert Saleh (1st season)