Houston Cougars vs Kansas State Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/10/2026

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 10, 2026

Venue:  Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, KS

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Houston +2.5, Kansas State -2.5; Over/Under:  55.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Houston +2.5, Kansas State -2.5; Over/Under:  55.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Houston +2.5, Kansas State -2.5; Over/Under:  55.5 points

Houston Cougars:  4-1 (1-1) (6th place, Big 12)

Kansas State Wildcats:  3-1 (0-1) (12th place, Big 12)

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Houston Cougars:  won their last game at home against the Central Florida Knights 27-17.

Kansas State Wildcats:  lost their last game on the road against the Cincinnati Bearcats 31-26.

Houston is entering this game with a 4-1 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against UCF 27-17. Conner Weigman was the starting QB and he completed 18/33 passes for 239 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Re'Shaun Sanford II led the team in rushing yards with 62. Patrick Overmyer led the receivers with 76 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Kentrell Webb led the defense in that game with 8 tackles while Khalil Laufau and Brandon Mack each led the defense in sacks with 1. Latreveon McCutchin came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Kansas State is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Cincinnati 31-26. Avery Johnson was the starting QB and he completed 30/50 passes for 292 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Joe Jackson led the team in rushing yards with 59. Derrick Salley Jr. led the receivers with 140 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Logan Bartley and Gabe Powers each led the defense in that game with 10 tackles while Rex Van Wyhe led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Houston listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Houston has looked good in their games this season with their 4-1 record overall and their 1-1 conference record which has them right in the middle of the Big 12. They haven't been a great road team though with their 1-1 road record this year. Meanwhile, Kansas State has looked good in their games this season with their 3-1 record overall, but their 0-1 conference record has them right near the bottom of the Big 12. They have looked a lot better on their home field though with their 3-0 home record this season. Kansas State is in their 1st season with a new head coach and they had a lot of hope coming into the year, but they are coming off a 31-26 loss to Cincinnati in their last one and that loss has really put a damper on the season. They haven't really been tested in their games this season either, so that was a big challenge for them and they even blew a lead after being in control for a lot of that game. Now they have a ranked opponent coming into town and Houston has looked like one of the best teams in the Big 12 this season. They do have a conference loss under their belt already, but that was also a 2 point loss on the road against Texas Tech who won the Big 12 last season and looks like the best team in the conference once again. Houston is also coming off a 27-17 win over UCF and they showed a lot of resilience in that game to come back down 17-0 and still win by double digits. Now they are entering this game as an underdog and they will definitely be looking to make a statement here. The best way to place a bet here is on Houston to cover the spread in this game. 

Houston Kansas State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 10, 2026 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Houston 27 Kansas State 24.

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Houston Cougars: 9-4 ATS in road lined games. 6-2 ATS as a road underdog. 11-3 ATS after playing a game at home. 23-15 OVER on the road when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 6-3 OVER on the road vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. 

Kansas State Wildcats: 7-16 ATS as a favorite. 6-14 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 0-4 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 120 rushing yards/game or less. 7-2 OVER in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 9-3 OVER vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game.

Houston Cougars:  J. Hebert (RB) Out - Leg. E. Noel (K) Out - Undisclosed. J. Strozier Jr. (WR) Out - Undisclosed. J. Ridgle (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Tounkara (WR) Out - Foot. L. McGary (TE) Out - Shoulder.

Kansas State Wildcats:  W. Anciaux (TE) Out - Leg. A. Morrell (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Lovett (WR) Questionable - Arm. D. Duff (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Barnett (QB) Questionable - Lower Body. J. Knuth (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Pastore (OG) Out - Leg.

“He’s very smart. He’s an intelligent football player. He gets the ball out of his hands. He knows where to go. He’s got a good, quick release, good velocity on the ball. He runs it better than probably people give him credit for.” - Willie Fritz on Conner Weigman after his team’s win against UCF in their last game. 

"I have looked up to Coach Fritz for a long time. Having gotten into this profession and seeing his track record, seeing how hard his teams play, how disciplined they are, the pressure they put on you schematically in all phases." - Collin Klein on his team’s upcoming game against Houston this week. 

WR Young, Koby

WR Walker, Trent

WR Thomas, Amare

TE Overmyer, Patrick

QB Weigman, Conner

RB Hughes, Makhi

WR Manning, Josh

WR Tibbs, Jaron

WR White, Brandon

TE Oakley, Garrett 

QB Johnson, Avery

RB Fields Jr., Rodney

Passing: Conner Weigman (1,186)

Rushing: Re'Shaun Sanford II (314)

Receiving: Amare Thomas (330)

Touchdowns: Conner Weigman (6)

Passing: Avery Johnson (910)

Rushing: Avery Johnson (291)

Receiving: Derrick Salley Jr. (178)

Touchdowns: Rodney Fields Jr. (4)

Coaches:

Houston Cougars: Willie Fritz (3rd season)

Kansas State Wildcats: Collin Klein (1st season)