College Football: Two Season Win Total Over Selections

College football is here! Week zero is this coming weekend. I am a big fan of the season win total markets, and I have had a lot of success on these wagers in the long run. Let’s take a look at two season win total overs that I like for this year.

Marshall played better than their final record from last season would indicate. They also found a star quarterback in Del Rio Wilson. In the offseason the Thundering Herd brought in a new offensive coordinator (Rod Smith) to run a hyper fast paced offense. I think Del Rio Wilson can thrive in this system, especially with this deep group of wide receivers. 

On the other side of the ball, Marshall has a defensive-minded head coach who had another year to get his type of players into the program. The secondary appears much stronger than it was a year ago. Gibson is a good coach, and I expect some clear improvement from this defense. 

My power ratings have Marshall as a favorite of more than a touchdown eight times this season! That means the Thundering Herd just need to take care of business to get us past this win total which also happens to be plus money.

I only have Marshall as an underdog of more than 7 points once this year (first game at Penn State). Marshall has a very realistic chance of winning at least nine games, so I’m happy to take over 7.5 here.

Fresno State over 6.5 wins (-140) *Make sure you bet this at a book that is including all 12 games including their flex week on 11/28*

Matt Entz is a great head coach. This is a guy who knows how to win from his days leading North Dakota State! Entz is all about having a strong team in the trenches.The offensive line only allowed 19 sacks last year. The run game will be really good this year. Luke is the main guy, but I think 4 guys will see quite a few carries because of their depth at RB. 

On defense Fresno State is amazing on the defensive line. I think Fresno is a top 30 or so defensive line nationally. They will dominate a bunch of the offensive fronts in this new Pac 12. They are top notch in the secondary as well. I think the Bulldogs will be very difficult to score on this season! 

The special teams at Fresno should be the best in the conference, and that will get them an extra win at some point. They should only be an underdog of more than a touchdown once this season (at USC in game one). Fresno State’s strength in the trenches makes me really like this team. I’m on the over.