by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Oct 27, 2026
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 1, 2026
Venue: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Browns +3.5, Steelers -3.5; Over/Under: 39.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Browns +3.5, Steelers -3.5; Over/Under: 39.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Browns +3.5, Steelers -3.5; Over/Under: 39.5 points
Season Record
Cleveland Browns: 5-2 (1st place, AFC North)
Pittsburgh Steelers: 5-2 (2nd place, AFC North)
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Cleveland Browns: won their last game on the road against the Tennessee Titans 27-24.
Pittsburgh Steelers: won their last game at a neutral site against the New Orleans Saints 16-10.
Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers Preview and Analysis
The Browns are entering this game with a 5-2 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Tennessee Titans 27-24. Deshaun Watson was the starting QB and he completed 25/36 passes for 308 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Quinshon Judkins led the team in rushing yards with 96 and 2 TDs. KC Concepcion led the receivers with 129 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Quincy Williams and Ronnie Hickman each led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles while Adin Huntington led the defense in sacks with 1. Denzel Ward came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Steelers are entering this game with a 5-2 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New Orleans Saints 16-10. Aaron Rodgers was the starting QB and he completed 19/30 passes for 212 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Jaylen Warren led the team in rushing yards with 101. DK Metcalf led the receivers with 56 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Patrick Queen led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles while Patrick Queen and T. J. Watt each led the defense in sacks with 1. Payton Wilson came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Browns vs Steelers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Browns listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Browns have looked good in their games this season with their 5-2 record overall which has them right at the top of the AFC North. They haven't been a great road team though with their 2-2 road record this year. Meanwhile, The Steelers have looked good in their games this season with their 5-2 record overall which has them right near the top of the AFC North. They have looked great on their home field too with their 3-0 home record this season. The Steelers have looked like a different team in their home games this season and their defense has looked great all year, not giving up many points, but their offense has still been a big issue. They are coming off a 16-10 win over the Saints in their last one and had trouble scoring on one of the worst defenses in the NFL. That game was also in France and they didn't take their bye week right after, so this isn't a great situation for them. The Browns are coming off a 27-24 win over the Titans in their last one and they needed a big comeback after falling down 14-0 right away. Their offense hasn't looked great at times this season either, but Watson continues to find ways to win them games right at the end. It helps that they have a great defense that doesn't give up many points and keeps them in a lot of these games. The Browns already beat the Steelers at home a few weeks ago and now they are catching the Steelers in a bad situation here coming back from France. The Browns have the talent on defense to make this another tight game against a bad offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Browns to cover the spread in this game.
Browns Steelers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 1, 2026 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Steelers 21 Browns 18.
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NFL Betting Trends
Cleveland Browns: 5-12 ATS as a road underdog. 5-9 ATS in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 4-8 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 20-13 UNDER as an underdog.
Pittsburgh Steelers: 25-18 ATS in all games. 8-2 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 7-2 ATS in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 33-26 UNDER revenging a same season loss against an opponent.
Key Injuries
Cleveland Browns: D. Thomas (S) Injured - Ankle. G. Delpit (S) Injured - Neck. E. Jenkins (OG) Injured - Knee. T. Howard (OT) Injured - Concussion. M. Harden (CB) Injured - Hamstring. J. Verse (DL) Injured - Knee. M. Hall Jr. (DL) Injured - Ankle. D. Sampson (RB) Injured - Knee. C. Schwesinger (LB) Injured - Ankle. M. Graham (DL) Injured - Ankle.
Pittsburgh Steelers: J. Ramsey (CB) Injured - Wrist. C. Heyward (DL) Injured - NIR - Rest. T. Watt (LB) Injured - NIR - Rest. A. Highsmith (LB) Injured - Groin. B. Skowronek (WR) Injured - Calf. B. Echols (CB) Injured - Hamstring. D. Washington (TE) Injured - NIR - Rest. D. Slaughter (CB) Injured - Hamstring.
Notable Quotes
“He has something in him to be able to make plays when it counts.” - Todd Monken on Deshaun Watson after his team’s win against the Titans in their last game.
“Sometimes you’ve got to suck it up and make a play for your guys. I think because I am so much less athletic than I used to be, it actually fires up the guys even more.” - Aaron Rodgers after their win against the Saints in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Cleveland Browns
WR Boston, Denzel
WR Jeudy, Jerry
WR Concepcion, KC
TE Fannin Jr., Harold
QB Watson, Deshaun
RB Judkins, Quinshon
FB Burton, Michael
Pittsburgh Steelers
WR Metcalf, DK
WR Bernard, Germie
WR Wetjen, Kaden
TE Freiermuth, Pat
QB Rodgers, Aaron
RB Warren, Jaylen
FB Nowakowski, Riley
Statistical Leaders
Cleveland Browns
Passing: Deshaun Watson (1,482)
Rushing: Quinshon Judkins (317)
Receiving: Denzel Boston (372)
Touchdowns: Harold Fannin Jr. (3)
Pittsburgh Steelers
Passing: Aaron Rodgers (1,699)
Rushing: Jaylen Warren (561)
Receiving: DK Metcalf (374)
Touchdowns: Pat Freiermuth (4)
Coaches:
Cleveland Browns: Todd Monken (1st season)
Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike McCarthy (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
